Publications

 

(last update November 12, 2016)

 

2016

J. Winckler, C.H. Reick, and J.Pongratz (in press): Robust Identification of Local Biogeopysical Effects of Land Cover Change in a Global Climate Model. J. Climate.

 

W. Li, P. Ciais, Y. Wang, S. Peng, G. Broquet, A.P. Ballantyne, J.G. Canadell, L. Cooper, P. Friedlingstein, C. Le Qu ́er ́e, R.B. Myneni, G.P. Peters, S. Piao, and J.Pongratz: Reducing uncertainties in decadal variability of the global carbon budget with multiple data sets, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, doi:10.1073/pnas.1603956113.

 

S.S. Nyawira, J.E.M.S. Nabel, A. Don, V. Brovkin, and J. Pongratz: Soil carbon response to land-use change: Evaluation of a global vegetation model using meta-data, Biogeosciences, 13, 5661–5675.

 

V. Naipal, C. Reick, K. Van Oost, T. Hoffmann, and J. Pongratz : Modeling long-term, large-scale sediment storage using a simple sediment budget approach, Earth Surface Dynamics, 4, 407-423 , doi:10.5194/esurf-4-407-2016.

 

S. Sonntag, J. Pongratz, C.H. Reick, and H. Schmidt: Reforestation in a high-CO2 world - Higher mitigation potential than expected, lower adaptation potential than hoped for, Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 6546-6553, doi:10.1002/2016GL068824.

 

K. Erb, S. Luyssaert, P. Meyfroidt, J. Pongratz, A. Don, S. Kloster, T. Kuemmerle, T. Fetzel, R. Fuchs, M. Herold, H. Haberl, C. Jones, E. Spiotta, I. McCallum, E. Robertson, V. Seufert, S. Fritz, A. Valade, A. Wiltshire, and A. Dolman: Land management: data availability and process understanding for global change studies, Global Change Biology, available online, doi:10.1111/gcb.13443.

 

C. Jones, V. Arora, P. Friedlingstein, L. Bopp, V. Brovkin, J. Dunne, H. Graven, F. Hoffman, T. Ilyina, J. John, M. Jung, M. Kawamiya, C. Koven, J. Pongratz, T. Raddatz, J. Randerson, and S. Zaehle: C4MIP – The Coupled Climate–Carbon Cycle Model Intercomparison Project: experimental protocol for CMIP6, Geoscientific Model Development, 9, 2853-2880, doi:10.5194/gmd-9-2853-2016.

 

D. Lawrence, G. Hurtt, A. Arneth, V. Brovkin, K. Calvin, A. Jones, C. Jones, P. Lawrence, N. de Noblet-Ducoudré, J. Pongratz, S. Seneviratne, and E. Shevliakova: The Land Use Model Intercomparison Project (LUMIP) contribution to CMIP6: rationale and experimental design, Geoscientific Model Development, 9, 2973-2998 , doi:10.5194/gmd-9-2973-2016.

 

A. Bastos, P. Ciais, J. Barichivich, L. Bopp, V. Brovkin, T. Gasser, S. Peng, J. Pongratz, N. Viovy, and C.M. Trudinger: Re-evaluating the 1940s CO2 plateau, Biogeosciences, 13, 4877–4897, doi:10.5194/bg-13-4877-2016.

 

R. Albright, L. Caldeira, J. Hosfelt, L. Kwiatkowski, J. Maclaren, B. Mason, Y. Nebuchina, A. Ninokawa, J. Pongratz, K. Ricke, T. Rivlin, K. Schneider, M. Sesboüé, K. Shamberger, J. Silverman, K. Wolfe, and K. Caldeira: Reversal of ocean acidification enhances net coral reef calcification, Nature, 531, 362-365, doi:10.1038/nature17155.

 

2015

E. Hansis, S.J. Davis, and J. Pongratz: Relevance of methodological choices for accounting of land use change carbon fluxes, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 29, 1230-1246. doi:10.1002/2014GB004997.

 

R. Schneck, C.H. Reick, J. Pongratz, and V. Gayler: The mutual importance of anthropogenically and climate induced changes in global vegetation cover for future land carbon emissions in the MPI-ESM CMIP5 simulations, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 29, 1816-1829. doi:10.1002/2014GB004959.

 

V. Naipal, C.H. Reick, J. Pongratz, and K. Van Oost: Improving the global applicability of the RUSLE model - Adjustment of the topographical and rainfall erosivity factors, Geoscientific Model Development, 8, 2893-2913. doi:10.5194/gmd-8-2893-2015.

 

J. Pongratz: Ackern für den Klimaschutz: Von der Nebenwirkung zum Gestalten. In N. Möllers (Ed.), Willkommen im Anthropozän: unsere Verantwortung für die Zukunft der Erde [eine Sonderausstellung des Deutschen Museums und des Rachel Carson Center for Environment and Society] (pp. 60-63). München: Deutsches Museum.

 

2014

S.J. Davis, J.A. Burney, J. A., J. Pongratz, and K. Caldeira: Methods for attributing land-use emissions to products, Carbon Management 5, 233-245, doi:10.1080/17583004.2014.913867.

 

S. Wilkenskjeld, S. Kloster, J. Pongratz, T. Raddatz, and C. H. Reick: Comparing the influence of net and gross anthropogenic land-use and land-cover changes on the carbon cycle in the MPI-ESM, Biogeosciences 11, 4817-4828, doi:10.5194/bg-11-4817-2014.

 

L.R. Boysen, V. Brovkin, V.K. Arora, P. Cadule, N. de Noblet-Ducoudré, E. Kato, J. Pongratz, and V. Gayler: Global and regional effects of land-use change on climate in 21st century simulations with interactive carbon cycle, Earth Syst. Dynam. 5, 309-319, doi:10.5194/esd-5-309-2014.

 

S. Luyssaert, M. Jammet, P.C. Stoy, S. Estel, J. Pongratz, E. Ceschia, G. Churkina, A. Don, K.H. Erb, M. Ferlicoq, B. Gielen, T. Grünwald, R.A. Houghton, K. Klumpp, A. Knohl, T. Kolb, T. Kuemmerle, T. Laurila, A. Lohila, D. Loustau, M.J. McGrath, P. Meyfroidt, E.J. Moors, K. Naudts, K. Novick, J. Otto, K. Pilegaard, C.A. Pio, S. Rambal, C. Rebmann, J. Ryder, A.E. Suyker, A. Varlagin, M. Wattenbach, and A.H. Dolman: Land management and land-cover change have impacts of similar magnitude on surface temperature, Nature Clim. Change 4, 389–393, doi:10.1038/nclimate2196.

 

J. Pongratz, C.H. Reick, R.A. Houghton, and J. House: Terminology as a key uncertainty in net land use and land cover change carbon flux estimates, Earth Syst. Dynam. 5, 177–195, doi:10.5194/esd-5-177-2014.

 

S. Sonntag, T. Ilyina, J. Pongratz, and H. Schmidt: Das Erdsystemmodell MPI-ESM,, In Modellierung in der Climate Engineering-Forschung: Aussagekräftig trotz Unsicherheiten (pp. 18-20).

 

2013

Contributing author to Working Group I contribution to the IPCC 5th Assessment Report Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis, 2013, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA: P. Ciais, C. Sabine, G. Bala, L. Bopp, V. Brovkin, J. Canadell, A. Chhabra, R. DeFries, J. Galloway, M. Heimann, C. Jones, C. Le Quere, R. Myneni, S. Piao, and P. Thornton, Chapter 6: Carbon and Other Biogeochemical Cycles.

 

Contributing author to Working Group I contribution to the IPCC 5th Assessment Report Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis, 2013, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA: G. Myhre, D. Shindell, F.-M. Breon, W. Collins, J. Fuglestvedt, J. Huang, D. Koch, J.-F. Lamarque, D. Lee, B. Mendoza, T. Nakajima, A. Robock, G. Stephens, T. Takemura, and H. Zhang, Chapter 8: Anthropogenic and Natural Radiative Forcing.

 

J. Pongratz: Plant a tree, but tend it well, Nature 498, 47–48, doi:10.1038/498047a.

 

V. Brovkin, L. Boysen, V.K. Arora, J.P. Boisier, P. Cadule, L. Chini, M. Claussen, P. Friedlingstein, V. Gayler, B.J.J.M. van den Hurk, G.C. Hurtt, C.D. Jones, E. Kato, D. de Noblet-Ducoudré, F. Pacifico, J. Pongratz, and M. Weiss: Effect of anthropogenic land-use and land cover changes on climate and land carbon storage in CMIP5 projections for the 21st century, J. Climate, doi: dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00623.1.

 

2012

R.A. Houghton, J.I. House, J. Pongratz, G.R. van der Werf, R.S. DeFries, M.C. Hansen, C. Le Quéré, and N. Ramankutty: Carbon emissions from land use and land-cover change, Biogeosciences 9, 5125-5142, doi:10.5194/bg-9-5125-2012.

 

J. Pongratz and K. Caldeira: Attribution of atmospheric CO2 and temperature increases to regions: importance of preindustrial land use change, Environmental Research Letters 7(034001) doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/7/034001.

Press: Spiegel Online, Welt Online, ERL Highlight of 2012. Press release: Carnegie Institution. Video: ERL video abstract

 

J. Pongratz, D.B. Lobell, L. Cao, and K. Caldeira: Crop yields in a geoengineered climate, Nature Climate Change, doi:10.1038/nclimate1373.

Press: NPR The Salt, Nature Climate Change. Press release: Carnegie Institution. Video: Julia Pongratz, Ken Caldeira

 

2011

J. Pongratz, C.H. Reick, T. Raddatz, K. Caldeira, and M. Claussen: Past land use decisions have increased mitigation potential of reforestation, Geophys. Res. Lett. 38, L15701, doi:10.1029/2011GL047848.

Press: GRL Editors' highlight, EOS Research Spotlight, AGU Journal Highlight. Press release: Carnegie Institution, Max Planck Institute. Video: Julia Pongratz

 

G.A. Ban-Weiss, G. Bala, L. Cao, J. Pongratz, and K. Caldeira: Climate forcing and response to idealized changes in surface latent and sensible heat, Environ. Res. Lett., 6, 034032, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034032.

Video: Julia Pongratz, Ken Caldeira

 

G.A. Schmidt, J.H. Jungclaus, C.M. Ammann, E. Bard, P. Braconnot, T.J. Crowley, G. Delaygue, F. Joos, N.A. Krivova, R. Muscheler, B.L. Otto-Bliesner, J. Pongratz, D.T. Shindell, S.K. Solanki, F. Steinhilber, and L.E.A. Vieira: Climate forcing reconstructions for use in PMIP simulations of the last millennium (v1.1), Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss, 4, pp. 2451–2467, doi:10.5194/gmdd-4-2451-2011.

 

J. Pongratz, K. Caldeira, C.H. Reick, and M. Claussen: Coupled climate-carbon simulations indicate minor global effects of wars and epidemics on atmospheric CO2 between AD 800 and 1850, The Holocene, doi: 10.1177/0959683610386981.

Press: Handelsblatt, Initiates file downloadBBC World Service. Press release: Carnegie Institution. Video: Julia Pongratz

 

K. Caldeira and J. Pongratz: Expecting cooling from deforestation, Comment in Nature on "Lee et al, Observed increase in local cooling effect of deforestation at higher latitudes, Nature 479(384-387), 2011."

 

G.A. Schmidt, J.H. Jungclaus, C.M. Ammann, E. Bard, P. Braconnot, T.J. Crowley, G. Delaygue, F. Joos, N.A. Krivova, R. Muscheler, B.L. Otto-Bliesner, J. Pongratz, D.T. Shindell, S.K. Solanki, F. Steinhilber, and L.E.A. Vieira: Climate forcing reconstructions for use in PMIP simulations of the last millennium (v1.0), Geosci. Model Dev., 4, pp. 33–45, doi: 10.1177/0959683610386981.

 

2010

J. Pongratz, C.H. Reick, T. Raddatz, and M. Claussen: Biogeophysical versus biogeochemical climate response to historical anthropogenic land cover change, Geophys. Res. Lett. 37, L08702, doi:10.1029/2010GL043010.

 

K. Hibbard, A. Janetos, D. van Vuuren, J. Pongratz, S. Rose, R. Betts, M. Herold, and J. Feddema: Research priorities in land use and land-cover change for the Earth System and Integrated Assessment Modelling, International Journal of Climatology, doi:10.1002/joc.2150.

 

J.H. Jungclaus, S.J. Lorenz, C. Timmreck, C.H. Reick, V. Brovkin, K. Six, J. Segschneider, M.A. Giorgetta, T.J. Crowley, J. Pongratz, N.A. Krivova, L.E. Vieira, S.K. Solanki, D. Klocke, M. Botzet, M. Esch, V. Gayler, H. Haak, T.J. Raddatz, E. Röckner, R. Schnur, H. Widmann, M. Claussen, B. Stevens, and J. Marotzke: Climate and carbon-cycle variability over the last millennium, Clim. Past 6, pp. 723–737, doi:10.5194/cp-6-723- 2010.

 

C. Reick, T. Raddatz, J. Pongratz, and M. Claussen: Contribution of anthropogenic land cover change emissions to pre-industrial atmospheric CO2, Tellus, doi:10.1111/j.1600-0889.2010.00479.x.

 

E. Röckner, M. Giorgetta, T. Crüger, M. Esch, and J. Pongratz: Historical and future anthropogenic emission pathways derived from coupled climate-carbon cycle simulations, Climatic Change, doi:10.1007/s10584-010-9886-6.

 

J. Pongratz: Global warming or cooling from historical land-cover change? iLEAPS Newsletter 10.

 

2009

J. Pongratz, C.H. Reick, T. Raddatz, and M. Claussen: Effects of anthropogenic land cover change on the carbon cycle of the last millennium, Global Biogeochem. Cycles 23, GB4001, doi:10.1029/2009GB003488.

Press: Nature Research Highlight

 

J. Pongratz, T. Raddatz, C.H. Reick, M. Esch, and M. Claussen: Radiative forcing from anthropogenic land cover change since A.D. 800, Geophys. Res. Lett. 36, L02709, doi:10.1029/2008GL036394.

 

J. Pongratz and C.H. Reick: Vorindustrielle Landwirtschaft: Klimawandel ohne Öl und Kohle, Jahrbuch der Max-Planck-Gesellschaft 2009.

 

J. Pongratz and C.H. Reick: Landwirtschaft pflügt das Klima um, MaxPlanckForschung 4.2009.

 

J. Pongratz: A model estimate on the effect of anthropogenic land cover change on the climate of the last millennium, Ph.D. Thesis, Reports on Earth System Science 68, ISSN 1614-1199.

 

2008

J. Pongratz, C. Reick, T. Raddatz, and M. Claussen: A reconstruction of global agricultural areas and land cover for the last millennium, Global Biogeochem. Cycles 22, GB3018, doi:10.1029/2007GB003153

Download data: World Data Center for Climate, contact author for extension until AD 2100. Movie: Initiates file download Cropland reconstruction

 

J. Pongratz, C. Reick, T. Raddatz, and M. Claussen: A Global Land Cover Reconstruction AD 800 to 1992 – Technical Description, Reports on Earth System Science 51, ISSN 1614-1199.

 

2006

J. Pongratz, L. Bounoua, R. DeFries, D.C. Morton, L.O. Anderson, W. Mauser, and C. Klink: The impact of land cover change on surface energy and water balance in Mato Grosso, Brazil, Earth Interactions 10 (19).