Refereed Publications

Submitted or in press

Klockmann, M., U. Mikolajewicz, H. Kleppin, and J. Marotzke, 2020: Coupling of the subpolar gyre and the overturning circulation during abrupt glacial climate transitions. Geophysical  Research Letters, submitted. [154]

 

Lehner, F., C. Deser, N. Maher, J. Marotzke, E. Fischer, L. Brunner, R. Knutti, and E. Hawkins, 2020: Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6. Earth System Dynamics, submitted, doi.org/10.5194/esd-2019-93. [153]

 

Deser, C., F. Lehner, K. B. Rodgers, T. Ault, T. L. Delworth, P. N. DiNezio, A. Fiore, C. Frankignoul, J. C. Fyfe, D. E. Horton, J. E. Kay, R. Knutti, N. S. Lovenduski, J. Marotzke, K. A. McKinnon, S. Minobe, J. Randerson, J. A. Screen, I. R. Simpson, and M. Ting, 2020: Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects. Nature Climate Change, in press. [152]

 

Maher, N., F. Lehner, and J. Marotzke, 2020: Quantifying the role of internal variability in the temperature we expect to observe in the coming decades. Environmental Research Letters, in press, available online, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab7d02. [151]

2020

Li, C., H. Held, S. Hokamp, and J. Marotzke, 2020: Optimal temperature overshoot profile found by limiting global sea level rise as a lower-cost climate target. Science Advances, 6, eaaw9490, 10.1126/sciadv.aaw9490 %J Science Advances. [150]

2019

Pohlmann, H., W. A. Müller, M. Bittner, S. Hettrich, K. Modali, K. Pankatz, and J. Marotzke, 2019: Realistic Quasi-Biennial Oscillation variability in historical and decadal hindcast simulations using CMIP6 forcing. Geophysical  Research Letters, 46, 14118-14125. [149]

 

Maher, N., S. Milinski, L. Suarez-Gutierrez, M. Botzet, M. Dobrynin, L. Kornblueh, J. Kröger, Y. Takano, R. Ghosh, C. Hedemann, C. Li, H. Li, E. Manzini, D. Notz, D. Putrasahan, L. Boysen, M. Claussen, T. Ilyina, D. Olonscheck, T. Raddatz, B. Stevens, and J. Marotzke, 2019: The Max Planck Institute Grand Ensemble: Enabling the Exploration of Climate System Variability. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11, 2050-2069. [148]

 

Mauritsen, T., J. Bader, T. Becker, J. Behrens, M. Bittner, R. Brokopf, V. Brovkin, M. Claussen, T. Crueger, M. Esch, I. Fast, S. Fiedler, D. Flaeschner, V. Gayler, M. Giorgetta, D. S. Goll, H. Haak, S. Hagemann, C. Hedemann, C. Hohenegger, T. Ilyina, T. Jahns, D. Jimenez-de-la-Cuesta, J. Jungclaus, T. Kleinen, S. Kloster, D. Kracher, S. Kinne, D. Kleberg, G. Lasslop, L. Kornblueh, J. Marotzke, D. Matei, K. Meraner, U. Mikolajewicz, K. Modali, B. Moebis, W. A. Muellner, J. E. M. S. Nabel, C. C. W. Nam, D. Notz, S.-S. Nyawira, H. Paulsen, K. Peters, R. Pincus, H. Pohlmann, J. Pongratz, M. Popp, T. J. Raddatz, S. Rast, R. Redler, C. H. Reick, T. Rohrschneider, V. Schemann, H. Schmidt, R. Schnur, U. Schulzweida, K. D. Six, L. Stein, I. Stemmler, B. Stevens, J.-S. von Storch, F. Tian, A. Voigt, P. Vrese, K.-H. Wieners, S. Wilkenskjeld, A. Winkler, and E. Roeckner, 2019: Developments in the MPI-M Earth System Model version 1.2 (MPI-ESM1.2) and its response to increasing CO2. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11, 998-1038. [147]

 

Lüschow, V., J.-S. von Storch, and J. Marotzke, 2019: Diagnosing the influence of mesoscale eddy fluxes on the Deep Western Boundary Current in the 1/10 degrees STORM/NCEP simulation. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 49, 751-764. [146]

 

Marotzke, J., 2019: Quantifying the irreducible uncertainty in near-term climate projections. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 10, e563. [145]

2018

Maher, N., D. Matei, S. Milinski, and J. Marotzke, 2018: ENSO change in climate projections: Forced response or internal variability? Geophysical Research Letters, 45, 11,390-311,398. [144]

 

Klockmann, M., U. Mikolajewicz, and J. Marotzke, 2018: Two AMOC states in response to decreasing greenhouse gas concentrations in the coupled climate model MPI-ESM. Journal of Climate, 31, 7969-7984. [143]

 

Suarez-Gutierrez, L., C. Li, W. A. Müller, and J. Marotzke, 2018: Internal variability in European summer temperatures at 1.5 °C and 2 °C of global warming. Environmental Research Letters, 13, 064026, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aaba58. [142]
 

Müller, W. A., J. H. Jungclaus, T. Mauritsen, J. Baehr, M. Bittner, R. Budich, F. Bunzel, M. Esch, R. Ghosh, H. Haak, T. Ilyina, T. Kleine, L. Kornblueh, H. Li, K. Modali, D. Notz, H. Pohlmann, E. Roeckner, I. Stemmler, F. Tian, and J. Marotzke, 2018: A higher-resolution version of the Max Planck Institute Earth System Model (MPI-ESM1.2-HR). Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 10, 1383-1413. [141]


Salameh, J., M. Popp, and J. Marotzke, 2018: The role of sea-ice albedo in the climate of slowly rotating aquaplanets. Climate Dynamics, 50, 2395-2410. [140]

2017

Kröger, J., H. Pohlmann, F. Sienz, J. Marotzke, J. Baehr, A. Köhl, K. Modali, I. Polkova, D. Stammer, F. Vamborg, and W. A. Müller, 2017: Full-field initialized decadal predictions with the MPI Earth System Model: An initial shock in the North Atlantic. Climate Dynamics, 10.1007/s00382-017-4030-1. [139]

 

Ackmann, J., J. Marotzke, and P. Korn, 2017: Stochastic goal-oriented error estimation with memory. Journal of Computational Physics, 348, 195-219. [138]

 

Suárez-Gutiérrez, L., C. Li, P. W. Thorne, and J. Marotzke, 2017: Internal variability in simulated and observed tropical tropospheric temperature trends. Geophysical Research Letters, 44, 5709–5719. [137]
 

Hagel, K., M. Milinski, and J. Marotzke, 2017: The level of climate-change mitigation depends on how humans assess the risk arising from missing the 2 °C target. Palgrave Communications, 3, 17027, 10.1057/palcomms.2017.27. [136]

 

Hedemann, C., T. Mauritsen, J. Jungclaus, and J. Marotzke, 2017: The subtle origins of surface-warming hiatuses. Nature Climate Change, 7, 336-339. [135]

 

Marotzke, J., C. Jakob, S. Bony, P. A. Dirmeyer, P. A. O'Gorman, E. Hawkins, S. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, C. Le Quéré, S. Nowicki, K. Paulavets, S. I. Seneviratne, B. Stevens, and M. Tuma, 2017: Climate research must sharpen its view. Nature Climate Change, 7, 89-91. [134]

 

Müller, V., H. Pohlmann, H. Haak, D. Matei, J. Marotzke, W. A. Müller, and J. Baehr, 2017: Hindcast skill for the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5°N within two MPI-ESM decadal climate prediction systems. Climate Dynamics, 10.1007/s00382-016-3482-z. [133]

2016

Marotzke, J., W. A. Müller, F. S. E. Vamborg, P. Becker, U. Cubasch, H. Feldmann, F. Kaspar, C. Kottmeier, C. Marini, I. Polkova, K. Prömmel, H. W. Rust, D. Stammer, U. Ulbrich, C. Kadow, A. Köhl, J. Kröger, T. Kruschke, J. G. Pinto, H. Pohlmann, M. Reyers, M. Schröder, F. Sienz, C. Timmreck, and M. Ziese, 2016: MiKlip: A national research project on decadal climate prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97, 2379-2394. [132]

 

Klockmann, M., U. Mikolajewicz, and J. Marotzke, 2016: The effect of greenhouse gas concentrations and ice sheets on the glacial AMOC in a coupled climate model. Climate of the Past, 12, 1829-1846. [131]

 

Milinski, M., C. Hilbe, D. Semmann, R. Sommerfeld, and J. Marotzke, 2016: Humans choose representatives who enforce cooperation in social dilemmas through extortion. Nature Communications, 7, 10.1038/ncomms10915. [130]

 

Popp, M., H. Schmidt, and J. Marotzke, 2016: Transition to a Moist Greenhouse with CO2 and solar forcing. Nature Communications, 7, 10.1038/ncomms10627. [129]

2015

Li, C., B. Stevens, and J. Marotzke, 2015: Eurasian winter cooling in the warming hiatus of 1998–2012. Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 8131-8139. [128]

 

Rauser, F., J. Marotzke, and P. Korn, 2015: Ensemble-type numerical uncertainty information from single model integrations. Journal of Computational Physics, 292, 30-42. [127]

 

Rauser, F., P. J. Gleckler, and J. Marotzke, 2015: Rethinking the construction hypothesis of multi-model climate ensembles. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96, 911-919. [126]

 

Popp, M., H. Schmidt, and J. Marotzke, 2015: Initiation of a Runaway Greenhouse in a cloudy column. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 72, 452-471. [125]

 

Marotzke, J., and P. M. Forster, 2015: Forcing, feedback and internal variability in global temperature trends.  Nature, 517, 565-570. [124]

 

Müller, W. A., D. Matei, M. Bersch, J. H. Jungclaus, H. Haak, K. Lohmann, G. P. Compo, and J. Marotzke, 2014: A twentieth-century reanalysis forced ocean model to reconstruct the North Atlantic climate variation during the 1920s. Climate Dynamics, 44, 1935-1955. [123]

2014

IPCC, 2014: Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Core Writing Team, R. K. Pachauri, and L. A. Meyer, Eds., IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, 151 pp. [122]

2013

IPCC, 2013: Summary for Policymakers. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, T. F. Stocker, D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex, and P. M. Midgley, Eds., Cambridge University Press, 3-29. [121]

 

Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, L.V. Alexander, S.K. Allen, N.L. Bindoff, F.-M. Bréon, J.A. Church, U. Cubasch, S. Emori, P. Forster, P. Friedlingstein, N. Gillett, J.M. Gregory, D.L. Hartmann, E. Jansen, B. Kirtman, R. Knutti, K. Krishna Kumar, P. Lemke, J. Marotzke, V. Masson-Delmotte, G.A. Meehl, I.I. Mokhov, S. Piao, V. Ramaswamy, D. Randall, M. Rhein, M. Rojas, C. Sabine, D. Shindell, L.D. Talley, D.G. Vaughan and S.-P. Xie, 2013: Technical Summary. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, T. F. Stocker, D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley, Eds., Cambridge University Press, 33–115. [120]

 

Flato, G., J. Marotzke, B. Abiodun, P. Braconnot, S. C. Chou, W. Collins, P. Cox, F. Driouech, S. Emori, V. Eyring, C. Forest, P. Gleckler, E. Guilyardi, C. Jakob, V. Kattsov, C. Reason, and M. Rummukainen, 2013: Evaluation of Climate Models. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, T. F. Stocker, D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex, and P. M. Midgley, Eds., Cambridge University Press, 741-866. [119]
 

Jacquet, J., K. Hagel, C. Hauert, J. Marotzke, T. Röhl, and M. Milinski, 2013: Intra- and intergenerational discounting in the climate game. Nature Climate Change, 3, 1025-1028. [118]
 

Pohlmann, H., W. A. Müller, K. Kulkarni, M. Kameswarrao, D. Matei, F. S. E. Vamborg, C. Kadow, S. Illing, and J. Marotzke, 2013: Improved forecast skill in the tropics in the new MiKlip decadal climate predictions. Geophysical Research Letters, 40, 5798-5802. [117]

 

Tietsche, S., D. Notz, J. H. Jungclaus, and J. Marotzke, 2013: Predictability of large interannual Arctic sea-ice anomalies. Climate Dynamics, 41, 2511-2526. [116]

 

Li, C., D. Notz, S. Tietsche, and J. Marotzke, 2013: The transient versus the equilibrium response of sea ice to global warming. Journal of Climate, 26, 5624-5636. [115]

 

Giorgetta, M. A., J. Jungclaus, C. H. Reick, S. Legutke, J. Bader, M. Böttinger, V. Brovkin, T. Crueger, M. Esch, K. Fieg, K. Glushak, V. Gayler, H. Haak, H.-D. Hollweg, T. Ilyina, S. Kinne, L. Kornblueh, D. Matei, T. Mauritsen, U. Mikolajewicz, W. Mueller, D. Notz, F. Pithan, T. Raddatz, S. Rast, R. Redler, E. Roeckner, H. Schmidt, R. Schnur, J. Segschneider, K. D. Six, M. Stockhause, C. Timmreck, J. Wegner, H. Widmann, K.-H. Wieners, M. Claussen, J. Marotzke, and B. Stevens, 2013: Climate and carbon cycle changes from 1850 to 2100 in MPI-ESM simulations for the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 5, 572-597. [114]

 

Notz, D., F. A. Haumann, H. Haak, J. H. Jungclaus, and J. Marotzke, 2013: Arctic sea-ice evolution as modeled by Max Planck Institute for Meteorology's Earth system model. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 5, 173-194. [113]

 

Jungclaus, J. H., N. Fischer, H. Haak, K. Lohmann, J. Marotzke, D. Matei, U. Mikolajewicz, D. Notz, and J. S. von Storch, 2013: Characteristics of the ocean simulations in the Max Planck Institute Ocean Model (MPIOM) the ocean component of the MPI-Earth system model. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 5, 422-446. [112]

 

Otto, A., F. E. L. Otto, O. Boucher, J. Church, G. Hegerl, P. M. Forster, N. P. Gillett, J. Gregory, G. C. Johnson, R. Knutti, N. Lewis, U. Lohmann, J. Marotzke, G. Myhre, D. Shindell, B. Stevens, and M. R. Allen, 2013: Energy budget constraints on climate response. Nature Geoscience, 6, 415-416. [111]

 

Li, C., J.-S. v. Storch, and J. Marotzke, 2013: Deep-ocean heat uptake and equilibrium climate response. Climate Dynamics, 40, 1071-1086. [110]

 

Tietsche, S., D. Notz, J. H. Jungclaus, and J. Marotzke, 2013: Assimilation of sea-ice concentration in a global climate model – physical and statistical aspects. Ocean Science, 9, 19–36. [109]

2012

von Storch, J.-S., C. Eden, I. Fast, H. Haak, D. Hernàndez-Deckers, E. Maier-Reimer, J. Marotzke, and D. Stammer, 2012: An estimate of Lorenz energy cycle for the world ocean based on the 1/10º STORM/NCEP simulation. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 42, 2185-2205. [108]

 

Matei, D., H. Pohlmann, J. Jungclaus, W. Müller, H. Haak, and J. Marotzke, 2012: Two tales of initializing decadal climate prediction experiments with the ECHAM5/MPI-OM model. Journal of Climate, 24, 8502-8523. [107]

 

Srokosz, M., M. Baringer, H. Bryden, S. Cunningham, T. Delworth, S. Lozier, J. Marotzke, and R. Sutton, 2012: Past, present and future change in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93, 1663-1676. [106]

 

Müller, W. A., J. Baehr, H. Haak, J. H. Jungclaus, J. Kröger, D. Matei, D. Notz, H. Pohlmann, J. S. v. Storch, and J. Marotzke, 2012: Forecast skill of multi-year seasonal means in the decadal prediction system of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology. Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L22707, doi: 10.1029/2012GL053326. [105]

 

Matei, D., J. Baehr, J. H. Jungclaus, H. Haak, W. A. Mueller, and J. Marotzke, 2012: Response to Comment on "Multiyear Prediction of Monthly Mean Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 26.5 degrees N". Science, 338, doi: 10.1126/science.1223200. [104]

 

Lunt, D. J., T. Dunkley Jones, M. Heinemann, M. Huber, A. LeGrande, A. Winguth, C. Loptson, J. Marotzke, C. D. Roberts, J. Tindall, P. Valdes, and C. Winguth, 2012: A model-data comparison for a multi-model ensemble of early Eocene atmosphere-ocean simulations: EoMIP. Climate of the Past, 8, 1717-1736. [103]

 

Szuts, Z. B., J. R. Blundell, M. P. Chidichimo, and J. Marotzke, 2012: A vertical-mode decomposition to investigate low-frequency internal motion across the Atlantic at 26° N. Ocean Science8, 345-367. [102]

 

Notz, D., and J. Marotzke, 2012: Observations reveal external driver for Arctic sea-ice retreat. Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L08502, doi:10.1029/2012GL051094. [101]

 

Matei, D., J. Baehr, J. H. Jungclaus, H. Haak, W. A. Müller, and J. Marotzke, 2012: Multiyear prediction of monthly mean Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 26.5ºN. Science335, 76-79. [100]

 

Callies, J., and J. Marotzke, 2012: A simple and self-consistent geostrophic-force-balance model of the thermohaline circulation with boundary mixing. Ocean Science8, 49-63. [99]

 

Sinha, B., A. T. Blaker, J. J.-M. Hirschi, S. Bonham, M. Brand, S. Josey, R. Smith, and J. Marotzke, 2012: Mountain ranges favour vigorous Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L02705, doi:10.1029/2011GL050485. [98]

 

Voigt, A., I. M. Held, and J. Marotzke, 2012: Hadley cell dynamics in a virtually dry Snowball Earth atmosphere. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences69, 116–128. [97]

2011

Milinski, M., T. Röhl, and J. Marotzke, 2011: Cooperative interaction of rich and poor can be catalyzed by intermediate climate targets. Climatic Change109, 807-814. [96]

 

Rauser, F., P. Korn, and J. Marotzke, 2011: Predicting goal error evolution from near-initial-information: A learning algorithm. Journal of Computational Physics230, 7284-7299. [95]

 

Baringer, M. O., T. O. Kanzow, C. S. Meinen, S. A. Cunningham, D. Rayner, W. E. Johns, H. L. Bryden, E. Fraika-Williams, J. J-M. Hirschi, M. P. Chidichimo, L. M. Beal, and J. Marotzke, 2011: Meridional Overturning Circulation Observations in the Subtropical North Atlantic, [in: State of the Climate in 2010; Blunden, J., D. S. Arndt, and M. O. Baringer, eds.]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society92, S95-S98. [94]
 

Johns, W. E., M. O. Baringer, L. M. Beal, S. A. Cunningham, T. Kanzow, H. L. Bryden, J. Hirschi, J. Marotzke, C. Meinen, B. Shaw, and R. Curry, 2011: Continuous, array-based estimates of Atlantic Ocean heat transport at 26.5ºN. Journal of Climate24, 2429-2449. [93]

 

Voigt, A., D. S. Abbot, R. T. Pierrehumbert, and J. Marotzke, 2011: Initiation of a Marinoan Snowball Earth in a state-of-the-art atmosphere-ocean general circulation model. Climate of the Past7, 249-263. [92]

 

Rayner, D., J. J.-M. Hirschi, T. Kanzow, W. E. Johns, P. G. Wright, E. Frajka-Williams, H. L. Bryden, C. S. Meinen, M. O. Baringer, J. Marotzke, L. M. Beal, and S. A. Cunningham, 2011: Monitoring the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. Deep-Sea Research II58, 1744-1753. [91]
 

Tietsche, S., D. Notz, J. H. Jungclaus, and J. Marotzke, 2011: Recovery mechanisms of Arctic summer sea ice. Geophysical Research Letters38, L02707, doi: 10.1029/02010GL045698. [90]

2010

Kanzow, T., S. A. Cunningham, W. E. Johns, J. J-M. Hirschi, J. Marotzke, M. O. Baringer, C. S. Meinen, M-P. Chidichimo, C. Atkinson, L. M. Beal, H. L. Bryden, and J. Collins, 2010: Seasonal variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5°N. Journal of Climate23, 5678–5698. [89]

 

Shukla, J., T. N. Palmer, R. Hagedorn, B. Hoskins, J. Kinter, J. Marotzke, M. Miller, and J. Slingo, 2010: Toward a New Generation of World Climate Research and Computing Facilities. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society91, 1407-1412. [88]

 

Shapiro, M., J. Shukla, G. Brunet, C. Nobre, M. Beland, R. Dole, K. Trenberth, R. Anthes, G. Asrar, L. Barrie, P. Bougeault, G. Brasseur, D. Burridge, A. Busalacchi, J. Caughey, D. L. Chen, J. Church, T. Enomoto, B. Hoskins, O. Hov, A. Laing, H. Le Treut, J. Marotzke, G. McBean, G. Meehl, M. Miller, B. Mills, J. Mitchell, M. Moncrieff, T. Nakazawa, H. Olafsson, T. Palmer, D. Parsons, D. Rogers, A. Simmons, A. Troccoli, Z. Toth, L. Uccellini, C. Velden, and J. M. Wallace, 2010: An Earth-System Prediction Initiative for the Twenty-First Century. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society91, 1377-1388. [87]

 

Jungclaus, J. H., S. J. Lorenz, C. Timmreck, C. H. Reick, V. Brovkin, K. Six, J. Segschneider, M. A. Giorgetta, T. J. Crowley, J. Pongratz, N. A. Krivova, L. E. Vieira, S. K. Solanki, D. Klocke, M. Botzet, M. Esch, V. Gayler, H. Haak, T. J. Raddatz, E. Roeckner, R. Schnur, H. Widmann, M. Claussen, B. Stevens, and J. Marotzke, 2010: Climate and carbon-cycle variability over the last millennium. Climate of the Past6, 723-737. [86]

 

Chidichimo, M. P., T. Kanzow, S. A. Cunningham, W. E. Johns, and J. Marotzke, 2010: The contribution of eastern-boundary density variations to the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5° N. Ocean Science6, 475-490. [85]

 

Koldunov, N. V., D. Stammer, and J. Marotzke, 2010: Present-day Arctic sea ice variability in the coupled ECHAM5/MPI-OM model. Journal of Climate23, 2520–2543. [84]

 

Hurrell, J. W., T. Delworth, G. Danabasoglu, H. Drange, S. Griffies, N. Holbrook, B. Kirtman, N. Keenlyside, M. Latif, J. Marotzke, G. A. Meehl, T. Palmer, H. Pohlmann, T. Rosati, R. Seager, D. Smith, R. Sutton, A. Timmermann, K. E. Trenberth, and J. Tribbia, 2010: Decadal Climate Prediction: Opportunities and Challenges. Proceedings of OceanObs’09: Sustained Ocean Observations and Information for Society (Vol. 2), Venice, Italy, 21-25 September 2009, ESA Publication WPP-306. [83]

 

Cunningham, S., M. Baringer, B. Johns, J. Toole, S. Østerhus, J. Fischer, A. Piola, E. McDonagh, S. Lozier, U. Send, T. Kanzow, J. Marotzke, M. Rhein, S. Garzoli, S. Rintoul, B. Sloyan, S. Speich, L. Talley, J. Baehr, C. Meinen, A.-M. Treguier, and P. Lherminier, 2010: The present and future system for measuring the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and heat transport. Proceedings of OceanObs’09: Sustained Ocean Observations and Information for Society (Vol. 2), Venice, Italy, 21-25 September 2009, ESA Publication WPP-306. [82]

 

Lucas, M. A., J. J.-M. Hirschi, and J. Marotzke, 2010: Response of the meridional overturning circulation to variable buoyancy forcing in a double hemisphere basin. Climate Dynamics34, 615-627. [81]

 

Voigt, A., and J. Marotzke, 2010: The transition from the present-day climate to a modern Snowball Earth. Climate Dynamics35, 887-905, DOI 10.1007/s00382-009-0633-5. [80]

2009

Heinemann, M., J. H. Jungclaus, and J. Marotzke, 2009: Warm Paleocene/Eocene climate as simulated in ECHAM5/MPI-OM. Climate of the Past5, 785-802. [79]
 

Baringer, M. O., C. S. Meinen, G. C. Johnson, T. O. Kanzow, S. A. Cunningham, W. E. Johns, L. M. Beal, J. J.-M. Hirschi, D. Rayner, H. R. Longworth, H. L. Bryden, and J. Marotzke, 2009: The meridional overturning circulation. [In: State of the Climate in 2008].  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society90, S59-S62. [78]

 

Landerer, F. W., J. H. Jungclaus, and J. Marotzke, 2009: Long-term polar motion excited by ocean thermal expansion. Geophysical Research Letters36, L17603, doi:10.1029/2009GL039692. [77]

 

Baehr, J., S. A. Cunningham, H. Haak, P. Heimbach, T. Kanzow, and J. Marotzke, 2009: Observed and simulated estimates of the meridional overturning circulation at 26.5°N in the Atlantic. Ocean Science5, 575-589. [76]

 

Pohlmann, H., J. Jungclaus, A. Koehl, D. Stammer, and J. Marotzke, 2009: Initializing decadal climate predictions with the GECCO oceanic synthesis: Effects on the North Atlantic. Journal of Climate22, 3926-3938. [75]

 

Baehr , J., A. Stroup, and J. Marotzke, 2009: Testing concepts for continuous monitoring of the meridional overturning circulation in the South Atlantic. Ocean Modelling29, 147-153. [74]

 

Shukla, J., B. Hoskins, R. Hagedorn, J. Marotzke, M. Miller, T. N. Palmer, and J. Slingo, 2009: Revolution in climate prediction is both necessary and possible: A declaration at the World Modelling Summit for Climate Prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society90, 175-178. [73]

2008

Smith, R. S. and J. Marotzke, 2008: Factors limiting anthropogenic carbon uptake to the North Atlantic in ocean carbon cycle models. Climate Dynamics31, 599-613. [72]

 

Landerer, F. W., J. H. Jungclaus, and J. Marotzke, 2008: El Niño–Southern Oscillation signals in sea level, surface mass redistribution, and degree-two geoid coefficients, Journal of Geophysical Research113, C08014, doi:10.1029/2008JC004767. [71]

 

Baehr, J., D. McInerney, K. Keller and J. Marotzke, 2008: Optimization of an observing system design for the North Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology25, 625–634. [70]

 

Kanzow, T., J. J.-M. Hirschi, C. S. Meinen, D. Rayner, S. A. Cunningham, J. Marotzke, W. E. Johns, H. L. Bryden, L. M. Beal, and M. O. Baringer, 2008: A prototype system of observing the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation – scientific basis, measurement and risk mitigation strategies, and first results. Journal of Operational Oceanography1, 19-28. [69]

 

Milinski, M., R. D. Sommerfeld, H.-J. Krambeck, F. A. Reed, and J. Marotzke, 2008: The collective-risk social dilemma and the prevention of simulated dangerous climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (USA)105, 2291-2294. [68]

 

Baehr, J., K. Keller, and J. Marotzke, 2008: Detecting potential changes in the meridional overturning circulation at 26°N in the Atlantic. Climatic Change91, 11-27. [67]

2007

Baehr, J., H. Haak, S. Alderson, S. A. Cunningham, J. H. Jungclaus, and J. Marotzke, 2007: Timely detection of changes in the meridional overturning circulation at 26°N in the Atlantic. Journal of Climate20, 5827–5841. [66]

 

Palmer, M. D., A. C. N. Garabato, J. D. Stark, J. Hirschi, and J. Marotzke, 2007: The influence of diapycnal mixing on quasi-steady overturning states in the Indian Ocean. Journal of Physical Oceanography37, 2290-2304. [65] 

 

Marotzke J., and M. Botzet, 2007: Present-day and ice-covered equilibrium states in a comprehensive climate model, Geophysical Research Letters34, L16704, doi:10.1029/2006GL028880. [64]

 

Kanzow, T., S. A. Cunningham, D. Rayner, J. J.-M. Hirschi, W. E. Johns, M. O. Baringer, H. L. Bryden, L. M. Beal, C. S. Meinen, and J. Marotzke, 2007: Observed flow compensation associated with the MOC at 26.5°N in the Atlantic. Science317, 938-941. [63]

 

Cunningham, S. A., T. Kanzow, D. Rayner, M. O. Baringer, W. E. Johns, J. Marotzke, H. R. Longworth, E. M. Grant, J. J-M. Hirschi, L. M. Beal, C. S. Meinen and H. L. Bryden, 2007: Temporal variability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 26.5°N. Science317, 935-938. [62]
 

Hirschi, J., and J. Marotzke, 2007: Reconstructing the meridional overturning circulation inferred from thermal wind and Ekman transports. Journal of Physical Oceanography37, 743-763. [61]

 

von Storch, J.-S., H. Sasaki, and J. Marotzke, 2007: Wind-generated power input to the deep ocean: an estimate using a 1/10º general circulation model. Journal of Physical Oceanography37, 657–672. [60] 

 

Landerer, F. W., J. H. Jungclaus, and J. Marotzke, 2007: Ocean bottom pressure changes lead to a decreasing length-of-day in a warming climate. Geophysical Research Letters34, L06307, doi: 10.1029/02006GL029106. [59]

 

Landerer, F. W., J. H. Jungclaus, and J. Marotzke, 2007: Regional dynamic and steric sea level change in response to the IPCC-A1B scenario. Journal of Physical Oceanography37, 296-312. [58]

 

Marotzke, J., L.-L. Fu, and E. Tziperman, 2007: Editorial Note – Carl Wunsch Special Issue. Journal of Physical Oceanography37, 133-134. [57]

2006

Lucas, M. A., J. J. Hirschi, and J. Marotzke, 2006: The scaling of the meridional overturning with the meridional temperature gradient in idealised general circulation models. Ocean Modelling, 13, 306-318. [56]

 

Jungclaus, J. H., H. Haak, M. Esch, E. Roeckner, and J. Marotzke, 2006: Will Greenland melting halt the thermohaline circulation? Geophysical Research Letters33, L17708, doi: 10.1029/2006GL026815. [55]

 

Jungclaus, J. H., M. Botzet, H. Haak, N. Keenlyside, J.-J. Luo, M. Latif, J. Marotzke, U. Mikolajewicz, and E. Roeckner, 2006: Ocean circulation and tropical variability in the coupled model ECHAM5/MPI-OM. Journal of Climate19, 3952-3972. [54]

 

Smith, R. S., C. Dubois, and J. Marotzke, 2006: Global climate and ocean circulation on an aquaplanet ocean-atmosphere general circulation model. Journal of Climate19, 4719-4737. [53]

 

Milinski, M., D. Semmann, H.-J. Krambeck, and J. Marotzke, 2006: Stabilizing the Earth’s climate is not a losing game: supporting evidence from public goods experiments. Proceedings National Academy of Sciences (USA)103, 3994–3998. [52]

2005

Jacob, D., H. Goettel, J. Jungclaus, M. Muskulus, R. Podzun, and J. Marotzke, 2005: Slowdown of the thermohaline circulation causes enhanced maritime climate influence and snow cover over Europe. Geophysical Research Letters32, L21711, doi: 10.1029/2005GL023286. [51]

 

Longworth, H., J. Marotzke, and T. F. Stocker, 2005: Ocean gyres and abrupt change in the thermohaline circulation: A conceptual analysis. Journal of  Climate18, 2403-2416. [50]

 

Lucas, M. A., J. J. Hirschi, J. D. Stark, and J. Marotzke, 2005: The response of an idealized ocean basin to variable buoyancy forcing. Journal of Physical Oceanography35, 601-615. [49]

2003 - 2004

Smith, R. S., C. Dubois, and J. Marotzke, 2004: Ocean circulation and climate in an idealised Pangean OAGCM. Geophysical Research Letters, 31, L18207, doi: 10.1029/2004GL020643. [48]

 

Palmer, M., H. Bryden, J. Hirschi, and J. Marotzke, 2004: Observed changes of the South Indian Ocean gyre circulation, 1987 - 2002. Geophysical Research Letters31, L15303, doi: 10.1029/2004GL020506. [47]

 

Baehr, J., J. Hirschi, J.-O. Beismann, and J. Marotzke, 2004: Monitoring the meridional overturning circulation in the North Atlantic: a model-based array design study. Journal of Marine Research62, 283-312. [46]

 

Klinger, B. A., S. Drijfhout, J. Marotzke, and J. R. Scott, 2004: Remote wind-driven overturning in the absence of the Drake Passage effect. Journal of Physical Oceanography34, 1036–1049. [45]

 

Marotzke, J., J. H. Lawton, R. Marsh, and I. N. McCave, 2003: Introduction. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. A, 361, 1829-1830. [44]

 

Ferron, B., and J. Marotzke, 2003: Impact of 4D-variational assimilation of WOCE hydrography on the meridional circulation of the Indian Ocean. Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography50, 2005-2021. [43]

 

Hirschi, J., J. Baehr, J. Marotzke, J. Stark, S. Cunningham, and J.-O. Beismann, 2003: A monitoring design for the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Geophysical Research Letters30, 1413, doi: 10.1029/2002GL016776. [42]

 

Alley, R. B., J. Marotzke, W. D. Nordhaus, J. T. Overpeck, D. M. Peteet, R. A. Pielke Jr., R. T. Pierrehumbert, P. B. Rhines, T. F. Stocker, L. D. Talley, and J. M. Wallace, 2003: Abrupt Climate Change. Science299, 2005-2010. [41]

 

Klinger, B. A., S. Drijfhout, J. Marotzke, and J. R. Scott, 2003: Sensitivity of basin-wide meridional overturning to diapycnal diffusion and remote wind forcing in an idealized Atlantic-Southern Ocean geometry. Journal of Physical Oceanography,33, 249-266. [40]

 

Stammer, D., C. Wunsch, R. Giering, C. Eckert, P. Heimbach, J. Marotzke, A. Adcroft, C. N. Hill, and J. Marshall, 2003: Volume, heat and freshwater transports of the global ocean circulation 1993-2000, estimated from a general circulation model constrained by World Ocean Circulation Experiment (WOCE) data. Journal of Geophysical Research108, 3007, doi: 10.1029/2001JC001115. [39]

2000 - 2002

Follows, M., T. Ito, and J. Marotzke, 2002: The wind-driven, subtropical gyres and the solubility pump of pCO2. Global Biogeochemical Cycles ,16, 1113, doi: 10.1029/2001GB001786. [38]

 

Scott, J. R., and J. Marotzke, 2002: The location of diapycnal mixing and the meridional overturning circulation. Journal of Physical Oceanography32, 3578-3595. [37]

 

Jayne, S. R., and J. Marotzke, 2002: The oceanic eddy heat transport. Journal of Physical Oceanography32, 3328-3345. [36]

 

Bice, K. L., and J. Marotzke, 2002: Could changing ocean circulation have destabilized methane hydrate at the Palaeocene/Eocene boundary? Paleoceanography17, 1018, doi: 10.1029/2001PA000678. [35]

 

Stammer, D., C. Wunsch, R. Giering, C. Eckert, P. Heimbach, J. Marotzke, A. Adcroft, C. N. Hill, and J. Marshall, 2002: The global ocean circulation during 1992-1997, estimated from ocean observations and a general circulation model. Journal of Geophysical Research,107, 3118, doi: 10.1029/2001JC000888, 2002. [34]

 

Scott, J. R., J. Marotzke, and A. Adcroft, 2002: Geothermal heating and its influence on the meridional overturning circulation. Journal of Geophysical Research 106, 31,141-31,154. [33]

 

Bice, K. L., and J. Marotzke, 2001: Numerical evidence against reversed thermohaline circulation in the warm Paleocene/Eocene ocean. Journal of Geophysical Research106, 11,529-11,542. [32]

 

Jayne, S. R., and J. Marotzke, 2001: The dynamics of ocean heat transport variability. Reviews of Geophysics39, 385-411. [31]

 

Adcroft, A., J. R. Scott, and J. Marotzke, 2001: Impact of geothermal heating on the global ocean circulation. Geophysical Research Letters28, 1735-1738. [30]

 

Ganachaud, A., C. Wunsch, J. Marotzke, and J. Toole, 2000: The large-scale circulation and meridional overturning of the Indian Ocean. Journal of Geophysical Research105, 26,117 - 26,134. [29]

 

Marotzke, J., and B. A. Klinger, 2000: The dynamics of equatorially asymmetric thermohaline circulations. Journal of Physical Oceanography30, 955-970. [28]

 

Klinger, B. A., and J. Marotzke, 2000: Meridional heat transport by the Subtropical Cell. Journal of Physical Oceanography30, 696-705. [27]

 

Marotzke, J., 2000: Abrupt climate change and thermohaline circulation: Mechanisms and predictability. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (U.S.A.)97, 1347-1350. [26] Reprint

 

Kamenkovich, I., J. Marotzke, and P. H. Stone, 2000: Factors affecting heat transport in an ocean general circulation model. Journal of Physical Oceanography30, 175-194. [25]

1995 - 1999

Marotzke, J., R. Giering, K. Q. Zhang , D. Stammer, C. Hill, and T. Lee , 1999: Construction of the adjoint MIT ocean general circulation model and application to Atlantic heat transport sensitivity. Journal of Geophysical Research104, 29, 529-29, 547. [24]

 

Marotzke, J., and J. R. Scott, 1999: Convective mixing and the thermohaline circulation. Journal of Physical Oceanography29, 2962-2970. [23]

 

Zhang, Q. K., and J. Marotzke, 1999: The importance of open-boundary estimation for an Indian Ocean GCM-data synthesis. Journal of Marine Research57, 305-334. [22]

 

Klinger, B. A., and J. Marotzke, 1999: Behavior of double hemisphere thermohaline flows in a single basin. Journal of Physical Oceanography29, 382-399. [21]

 

Scott, J. R., J. Marotzke, and P. H. Stone, 1999: Interhemispheric thermohaline circulation in a coupled box model. Journal of Physical Oceanography29, 351-365. [20]

 

Jayne, S. R., and J. Marotzke, 1999: A destabilizing thermohaline circulation-atmosphere-sea ice feedback. Journal of Climate12, 642-651. [19]

 

Wang, X., P. H. Stone, and J. Marotzke, 1999b: Global thermohaline circulation, Part II: Sensitivity with interactive atmospheric transports. Journal of Climate12, 83-91. [18]

 

Wang, X., P. H. Stone, and J. Marotzke, 1999a: Global thermohaline circulation, Part I: Sensitivity to atmospheric moisture transport. Journal of Climate12, 71-82. [17]

 

Lee, T., and J. Marotzke, 1998: Seasonal cycles of meridional overturning and heat transport of the Indian Ocean. Journal of Physical Oceanography28, 923-943. [16]

 

Marotzke, J., and A. Adcroft, 1997: Comment on "Climate control requires a dam at the Strait of Gibraltar" by R. G. Johnson. Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union78, 507. [15]

 

Marotzke, J., 1997: Boundary mixing and the dynamics of three-dimensional thermohaline circulations. Journal of Physical Oceanography27, 1713-1728. [14]

 

Lee, T., and J. Marotzke, 1997: Inferring meridional mass and heat transports of the Indian Ocean by fitting a general circulation model to climatological data. Journal of Geophysical Research102, 10 585-10 602. [13]

 

Marotzke, J., and D. W. Pierce, 1997: On spatial scales and lifetimes of SST anomalies beneath a diffusive atmosphere. Journal of Physical Oceanography27, 133-139. [12]

 

Marotzke, J., and P. H. Stone, 1995: Atmospheric transports, the thermohaline circulation, and flux adjustments in a simple coupled model. Journal of Physical Oceanography25, 1350-1364. [11]

 

Wang, X., P. H. Stone, and J. Marotzke, 1995: Poleward heat transport in a barotropic ocean model. Journal of Physical Oceanography25, 256-265. [10]

1988 - 1994

Nakamura, M., P. H. Stone, and J. Marotzke, 1994: Destabilization of the thermohaline circulation by atmospheric eddy transports. Journal of Climate7, 1870-1882. [9]

 

Neelin, J. D., and J. Marotzke, 1994: Representing ocean eddies in climate models. Science264, 1099-1100. [8]

 

Marotzke, J., and C. Wunsch, 1993: Finding the steady state of a general circulation model through data assimilation: Application to the North Atlantic ocean. Journal of Geophysical Research98, 20,149-20,167. [7]

 

Weaver, A. J., J. Marotzke, P. F. Cummins, and E. S. Sarachik, 1993: Stability and variability of the thermohaline circulation. Journal of Physical Oceanography23, 39-60. [6]

 

Marotzke, J., 1992: The role of integration time in determining a steady state through data assimilation. Journal of Physical Oceanography22, 1556-1567. [5]

 

Weaver, A. J., E. S. Sarachik, and J. Marotzke, 1991: Freshwater flux forcing of decadal and interdecadal oceanic variability. Nature353, 836-838. [4]

 

Marotzke, J., and J. Willebrand, 1991: Multiple equilibria of the global thermohaline circulation. Journal of Physical Oceanography21, 1372-1385. [3]

 

Marotzke, J., 1991: Influence of convective adjustment on the stability of the thermohaline circulation. Journal of Physical Oceanography21, 903-907. [2]

 

Marotzke, J., P. Welander, and J. Willebrand, 1988: Instability and multiple steady states in a meridional-plane model of the thermohaline circulation. Tellus40A, 162-172. [1]