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  • Notz, D. & Stroeve, J. (submitted). The trajectory towards a seasonally ice-free Arctic Ocean.
  • Stössel, A., von Storch, J., Notz, D., Haak, H. & Gerdes, R. (2018). High-frequency and meso-scale winter sea-ice variability in the Southern Oscillation in a high resolution global ocean model. Ocean Dynamics, 68, 347-361. doi:10.1007/s10236-018-1135-y
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  • Bunzel, F., Müller, W., Dobrynin, M., Fröhlich, K., Hagemann, S., Pohlmann, H., Stacke, T. & Baehr, J. (2018). Improved seasonal prediction of European summer temperatures with new five-layer soil-hydrology scheme. Geophysical Research Letters, 45, 346-353. doi:10.1002/2017GL076204 [pdf] [pdf]
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  • Notz, D. (2017). Arctic sea ice seasonal-to-decadal variability and long-term change. Past Global Changes Magazine, 25, 14-19. doi:10.22498/pages.25.1.14 [pdf]
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  • Notz, D. & Stroeve, J. (2016). Observed Arctic sea-ice loss directly follows anthropogenic CO2 emission. Science, 354(6313), 747-750. doi:10.1126/science.aag2345
  • Grimm, R., Notz, D., Rysgaard, S., Glud, R. & Six, K. (2016). Assessment of the sea ice carbon pump: Insights from a three-dimensional ocean-sea-ice biogeochemical model (MPIOM/HAMOCC). Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene, 4, 136. doi:10.12952/journal.elementa.000136 [pdf]
  • Notz, D., Jahn, A., Holland, M., Hunke, E., Massonnet, F., Tremblay, B. & Vancoppenolle, M. (2016). The CMIP6 Sea-Ice Model Intercomparison Project (SIMIP): understanding sea ice through climate-model simulations. Geoscientific Model Development, 9, 3427-3446. doi:10.5194/gmd-9-3427-2016 [pdf]
  • Notz, D. (2016). Atmospheric dynamics: Arctic winds of change. Nature Climate Change, 6, 824-825. doi:10.1038/nclimate3030
  • Bathiany, S., van der Bolt, B., Williamson, M., Lenton, T., Scheffer, M., van Nes, E. & Notz, D. (2016). Statistical indicators of Arctic sea-ice stability - prospects and limitations. The Cryosphere, 10, 1631-1645. doi:10.5194/tc-10-1631-2016 [pdf]
  • Bathiany, S., Notz, D., Mauritsen, T., Rädel, G. & Brovkin, V. (2016). On the mechanism of Arctic winter sea ice collapse. Journal of Climate, 29, 2703-2719. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0466.1 [docx] [pdf]
  • Keitzl, T., Mellado, J.-P. & Notz, D. (2016). Impact of thermally driven turbulence on the bottom melting of ice. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 46, 1171-1187. doi:10.1175/JPO-D-15-0126.1 [gz] [pdf]
  • Bunzel, F., Notz, D., Baehr, J., Müller, W. & Fröhlich, K. (2016). Seasonal climate forecasts significantly affected by observational uncertainty of Arctic sea ice concentration. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 852-859. doi:10.1002/2015GL066928 [pdf] [pdf]
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  • Notz, D. & Bitz, C. (2016). Sea ice in Earth system models. In Thomas, D. (Eds.), Sea Ice. - 3rd. ed. (pp.304-329). Chichester: Wiley.
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  • Notz, D. (2015). How well must climate models agree with observations?. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London, Series A: Mathematical and Physical Sciences, 373: 20140164. doi:10.1098/rsta.2014.0164
  • Wiese, M., Griewank, P. & Notz, D. (2015). On the thermodynamics of melting sea ice versus melting freshwater ice. Annals of Glaciology, 56, 191-199. doi:10.3189/2015AoG69A874
  • Baehr, J., Fröhlich , K., Botzet, M., Domeisen, D., Kornblueh, L., Notz, D., Piontek, R., Pohlmann, H., Tietsche, S. & Müller, W. (2015). The prediction of surface temperature in the new seasonal prediction system based on the MPI-ESM coupled climate model. Climate Dynamics, 44, 2723-2735. doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2399-7
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  • Haumann, F., Notz, D. & Schmidt, H. (2014). Anthropogenic influence on recent circulation-driven Antarctic sea-ice changes. Geophysical Research Letters, 41, 8429-8437. doi:10.1002/2014GL061659 [pdf]
  • Vihma, T., Pirazzini, R., Fer, I., Renfrew, I., Sedlar, J., Tjernstrom, M., Luepkes, C., Nygard, T., Notz, D., Weiss, J., Marsan, D., Cheng, B., Birnbaum, G., Gerland, S., Chechin, D. & Gascard, J. (2014). Advances in understanding and parameterization of small-scale physical processes in the marine Arctic climate system: a review. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 14(17), 9403-9450. doi:10.5194/acp-14-9403-2014 [pdf] [pdf]
  • Olason, E. & Notz, D. (2014). Drivers of variability in Arctic sea-ice drift speed. Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans, 119, 5755-5775. doi:10.1002/2014JC009897 [pdf]
  • Rysgaard, S., Wang, F., Galley, R., Grimm, R., Notz, D., Lemes, M., Geilfus, N.-X., Chaulk, A., Hare, A., Crabeck, O., Else, B., Campbell, K., Sorensen, L., Sievers, J. & Papakyriakou, T. (2014). Temporal dynamics of ikaite in experimental sea ice. The Cryosphere, 8, 1469-1478. doi:10.5194/tc-8-1469-2014 [pdf]
  • Zanchettin, D., Bothe, O., Timmreck, C., Bader, J., Beitsch, A., Graf, H.-F., Notz, D. & Jungclaus, J. (2014). Inter-hemispheric asymmetry in the sea-ice response to volcanic forcing simulated by MPI-ESM (COSMOS-Mill). Earth System Dynamics, 5, 223-242. doi:10.5194/esd-5-223-2014 [pdf] [pdf]
  • Fripiat, F., André, L., Notz, D. & DeLille, B. (2014). Biogenic silica recycling in sea inferred from SI-isotopes : constraints from Arctic winter first-year sea ice. Biogeochemistry, 119, 25-33. doi:10.1007/s10533-013-9911-8
  • Notz, D. (2014). Veränderung der Dicke und Ausdehnung des Polarmeereises. In Lozán, J., Grassl, H., Notz, D. & Piepenburg, D. (Eds.), Warnsignal Klima: Die Polarregionen (pp.121-127). Hamburg: Wissenschaftliche Auswertungen.
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  • Jungclaus, J. (2014). Die Rolle ozeanischer Wärmetransporte für das Klima der Arktis im letzten Jahrtausend. In Lozán, J., Grassl, H., Notz, D. & Piepenburg, D. (Eds.), Warnsignal Klima: Die Polarregionen (pp.243-247). Hamburg: Wissenschaftliche Auswertungen.
  • Notz, D. (2014). Erwärmung der Polarregionen in den letzten 50 Jahren: Ursachen und Folgen. In Lozán, J., Grassl, H., Notz, D. & Piepenburg, D. (Eds.), Warnsignal Klima: Die Polarregionen (pp.230-235). Hamburg: Wissenschaftliche Auswertungen.
  • Notz, D. (2014). Sea-ice extent and its trend provide limited metrics of model performance. The Cryosphere, 8, 229-243. doi:10.5194/tc-8-229-2014 [pdf]
  • Keitzl, T., Notz, D. & Mellado, J.-P. (2014). How fast does ice melt from below?. APS Division of Fluid Dynamics GFM. doi:10.1103/APS.DFD.2014.GFM.V0020 [de/pubman/item/escidoc:2300733:9/component/escidoc:2300760/Video-Keitzl]
  • Griewank, P. (2014). A 1D model study of brine dynamics in sea ice. Phd Thesis, Hamburg: Universität Hamburg. doi:10.17617/2.1909684 [pdf]
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  • Notz, D., Brovkin, V. & Heimann, M. (2013). Arctic: uncertainties in methane link. Nature, 500, 529-529. doi:10.1038/500529b
  • Li, C., Notz, D., Tietsche, S. & Marotzke, J. (2013). The transient versus the equilibrium response of sea ice to global warming. Journal of Climate, 26, 5624-5636. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00492.1 [pdf]
  • Griewank, P. & Notz, D. (2013). Insights into brine dynamics and sea ice desalination from a 1-D model study of gravity drainage. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 118, 3370-3386: . doi:10.1002/jgrc.20247 [pdf]
  • Jungclaus, J., Fischer, N., Haak, H., Lohmann, K., Marotzke, J., Matei, D., Mikolajewicz, U., Notz, D. & von Storch, J.-S. (2013). Characteristics of the ocean simulations in MPIOM, the ocean component of the MPI Earth System Model. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 5, 422-446. doi:10.1002/jame.20023 [pdf]
  • Tietsche, S., Notz, D., Jungclaus, J. & Marotzke, J. (2013). Assimilation of sea-ice concentration in a global climate model – physical and statistical aspects. Ocean Science, 9, 19-36. doi:10.5194/os-9-19-2013 [pdf]
  • Notz, D. (2012). Challenges in simulating sea ice in Earth System Models. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 3, 509-526. doi:10.1002/WCC.189
  • Müller, W., Baehr, J., Haak, H., Jungclaus, J., Kröger, J., Matei, D., Notz, D., Pohlmann, H., von Storch, J. & Marotzke, J. (2012). Forecast skill of multi-year seasonal means in the decadal prediction system of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology. Geophysical Research Letters, 39: L22707. doi:10.1029/2012GL053326 [pdf]
  • Naumann, A., Notz, D., Havik, L. & Sirevaag, A. (2012). Laboratory study of initial sea-ice growth: properties of grease ice and nilas. Cryosphere, 6, 729-741 : . doi:10.5194/tc-6-729-2012 [pdf]
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  • Mauritsen, T., Stevens, B., Roeckner, E., Crueger, T., Esch, M., Giorgetta, M., Haak, H., Jungclaus, J., Klocke, D., Matei, D., Mikolajewicz, U., Notz, D., Pincus, R., Schmidt, H. & Tomassini, L. (2012). Tuning the climate of a global model. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 4: M00A01. doi:10.1029/2012MS000154 [pdf]
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  • Hunke, E., Notz, D., Turner, A. & Vancoppenolle, M. (2011). The multiphase physics of sea ice: A review. Cryosphere, 5, 989-1009. doi:10.5194/tc-5-989-2011 [pdf]
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  • Notz, D. (2011). Kippt das Klima ?. In Zellner, R.Gesellschaft Deutscher Chemiker (Eds.), Chemie über den Wolken (pp.157-161). Weinheim: Wiley-VCH.
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  • Notz, D. (2011). Sea ice. In Schneider, S. (Eds.), Encyclopedia of Climate and Weather (pp.52-55). Oxford: Oxford Univ. Press.
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  • Notz, D. (2009). The future of ice sheets and sea ice: Between reversible retreat and unstoppable loss. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 106, 20590-20595. doi:10.1073/pnas.0902356106
  • Notz, D. & Worster, G. (2009). Desalination processes of sea ice revisited. Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans, 114: C05006.
  • Notz, D., Haugan, P., Widell, K., Nilsen, F. & de Grosbois, A. (2009). International viewpoint and news. Environmental Geology, 57, 479-480: .
  • Notz, D. & Worster, G. (2008). In-situ measurements of the evolution of young sea ice. Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans, 113(C3): C03001. doi:10.1029/
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  • Notz, D. & Worster, M. (2006). A 1-D enthalpy model of sea ice. Annals of Glaciology, 44, 123-128.
  • Notz, D., Wettlaufer, J. & Worster, M. (2005). A non-destructive method for measuring the salinity and solid fraction of growing sea ice in situ. Journal of Glaciology, 51(172), 159-166.