Articles in peer-reviewed journals
  • Le Quéré, C., Andrew, R., Friedlingstein, P., Sitch, S., Pongratz, J., Manning, A., Korsbakken, J., Peters, G., Canadell, J., Jackson, R., Boden, T., Tans, P., Andrews, O., Arora, V., Bakker, D., Barbero, L., Becker, M., Betts, R., Bopp, L., Chevallier, F., Chini, L., Ciais, P., Cosca, C., Cross, J., Currie, K., Gasser, T., Harris, I., Hauck, J., Haverd, V., Houghton, R., Hunt, C., Hurtt, G., Ilyina, T., Jain, A., Kato, E., Kautz, M., Keeling, R., Klein Goldewijk, K., Körtzinger, A., Landschützer, P., Lefèvre, N., Lenton, A., Lienert, S., Lima, I., Lombardozzi, D., Metzl, N., Millero, F., Monteiro, P., Munro, D., Nabel, J., Nakaoka, S.-I., Nojiri, Y., Pad́ın, X., Peregon, A., Pfeil, B., Pierrot, D., Poulter, B., Rehder, G., Reimer, J., Rödenbeck, C., Schwinger, J., Séférian, R., Skjelvan, I., Stocker, B., Tian, H., Tilbrook, B., van der Laan-Luijkx, I., van der Werf, G., van Heuven, S., Viovy, N., Vuichard, N., Walker, A., Watson, A., Wiltshire, A., Zaehle, S. & Zhu, D. (2018). Global Carbon Budget 2017. Earth System Science Data, 10, 405-448. doi:10.5194/essd-10-405-2018 [pdf]
  • Mauritsen, T., Bader, J., Becker, T., Behrens, J., Bittner, M., Brokopf, R., Brovkin, V., Claussen, M., Crueger, T., Esch, M., Fast, I., Fiedler, S., Popke, D., Gayler, V., Giorgetta, M., Goll, D., Haak, H., Hagemann, S., Hedemann, C., Hohenegger, C., Ilyina, T., Jahns, T., Jimenez Cuesta de la Otero, D., Jungclaus, J., Kleinen, T., Kloster, S., Kracher, D., Kinne, S., Kleberg, D., Lasslop, G., Kornblueh, L., Marotzke, J., Matei, D., Meraner, K., Mikolajewicz, U., Modali, K., Möbis, B., Müller, W., Nabel, J., Nam, C., Notz, D., Nyawira, S., Paulsen, H., Peters, K., Pincus, R., Pohlmann, H., Pongratz, J., Popp, M., Raddatz, T., Rast, S., Redler, R., Reick, C., Rohrschneider, T., Schemann, V., Schmidt, H., Schnur, R., Schulzweida, U., Six, K., Stein, L., Stemmler, I., Stevens, B., von Storch, J., Tian, F., Voigt, A., de Vrese, P., Wieners, K.-H., Wilkenskjeld, S., Roeckner, E. & Winkler, A. (submitted). Developments in the MPI-M Earth System Model version 1.2 (MPI-ESM1.2) and its response to increasing CO2.
  • Sonntag, S., Ferrer-Gonzalez, M., Ilyina, T., Kracher, D., Nabel, J., Niemeier, U., Pongratz, J., Reick, C. & Schmidt, H. (2018). Quantifying and comparing effects of climate engineering methods in the earth system. Earth's Future, 6, 149-168. doi:10.1002/2017EF000620 [pdf]
  • Arneth, A., Sitch, S., Pongratz, J., Stocker, B., Ciais, P., Poulter, B., Bayer, A., Bondeau, A., Calle, L., Chini, L., Gasser, T., Fader, M., Friedlingstein, P., Kato, E., Li, W., Lindeskog, M., Nabel, J., Pugh, T., Robertson, E., Viovy, N., Yue, C. & Zaehle, S. (2017). Historical carbon dioxide emissions caused by land-use changes are possibly larger than assumed. Nature Geoscience, 10, 79-84. doi:10.1038/ngeo2882
  • Li, W., Ciais, P., Peng, S., Yue, C., Wang, Y., Thurner, M., Saatchi, S., Arneth, A., Avitabile, V., Carvalhais, N., Harper, A., Kato, E., Koven, C., Liu, Y., Nabel, J., Pan, Y., Pongratz, J., Poulter, B., Pugh, T., Santoro, M., Sitch, S., Stocker, B., Viovy, N., Wiltshire, A., Yousefpour, R. & Zaehle, S. (2017). Land-use and land-cover change carbon emissions between 1901 and 2012 constrained by biomass observations. Biogeosciences, 14, 5053-5067. doi:10.5194/bg-14-5053-2017 [pdf] [pdf]
  • Nyawira, S.-S., Nabel, J., Brovkin, V. & Pongratz, J. (2017). Input-driven versus turnover-driven controls of simulated changes in soil carbon from land-use change. Environmental Research Letters, 12(8): 084015. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa7ca9 [pdf] [pdf] [gz]
  • Yousefpour , R., Nabel, J. & Pongratz, J. (submitted). Simulating sustained yield harvesting adaptive to future climate change. In open review for Biogeosciences, doi: 10.5194/bg-2017-531. doi:10.5194/bg-2017-531
  • Le Quéré, C., Andrew, R., Canadell, J., Sitch, S., Korsbakken, J., Peters, G., Manning, A., Boden, T., Tans, P., Houghton, R., Keeling, R., Alin, S., Andrews, O., Anthoni, P., Barbero, L., Bopp, L., Chevallier, F., Chini, L., Ciais, P., Currie, K., Delire, C., Doney, S., Friedlingstein, P., Gkritzalis, T., Harris, I., Hauck, J., Haverd, V., Hoppema, M., Goldewijk, K., Jain, A., Kato, E., Körtzinger, A., Landschützer, P., Lefèvre, N., Lenton, A., Lienert, S., Lombardozzi, D., Melton, J., Metzl, N., Millero, F., Monteiro, P., Munro, D., Nabel, J., Nakaoka, S.-i., O'Brien, K., Olsen, A., Omar, A., Ono, T., Pierrot, D., Poulter, B., Rödenbeck, C., Salisbury, J., Schuster, U., Schwinger, J., Séférian, R., Skjelvan, I., Stocker, B., Sutton, A., Takahashi, T., Tian, H., Tilbrook, B., van der Laan-Luijkx, I., van der Werf, G., Viovy, N., Walker, A., Wiltshire, A. & Zaehle, S. (2016). Global Carbon Budget 2016. Earth System Science Data, 8, 605-649. doi:10.5194/essd-8-605-2016
  • Nyawira, S.-S., Nabel, J., Don, A., Brovkin, V. & Pongratz, J. (2016). Soil carbon response to land-use change: Evaluation of a global vegetation model using meta-data. Biogeosciences, 13, 5661-5675. doi:10.5194/bg-2016-161 [pdf] [pdf]
  • Zhang, Y., Xiao, X., Guanter, L., Zhou, R., Ciais, P., Joiner, J., Sitch, S., Wu, X., Nabel, J., Dong, J., Kato, E., Jain, A., Wiltshire, A. & Stocker, B. (2016). Precipitation and carbon-water coupling jointly control the interannual variability of global land gross primary production. Scientific Reports, 6: 39748. doi:10.1038/srep39748 [pdf]
  • Le Quéré, C., Moriarty, R., Andrew, R., Canadell, J., Sitch, S., Korsbakken, J., Friedlingstein, P., Peters, G., Andres, R., Boden, T., Houghton, R., House, J., Keeling, R., Tans, P., Arneth, A., Bakker, D., Barbero, L., Bopp, L., Chang, J., Chevallier, F., Chini, L., Ciais, P., Fader, M., Feely, R., Gkritzalis, T., Harris, I., Hauck, J., Ilyina, T., Jain, A., Kato, E., Kitidis, V., Goldewijk, K., Koven, C., Landschützer, P., Lauvset, S., Lefèvre, N., Lenton, A., Lima, I., Metzl, N., Millero, F., Munro, D., Murata, A., Nabel, J., Nakaoka, S., Nojiri, Y., O'Brien, K., Olsen, A., Ono, T., Pérez, F., Pfeil, B., Pierrot, D., Poulter, B., Rehder, G., Rödenbeck, C., Saito, S., Schuster, U., Schwinger, J., Séférian, R., Steinhoff, T., Stocker, B., Sutton, A., Takahashi, T., Tilbrook, B., van der Laan-Luijkx, I., van der Werf, G., van Heuven, S., Vandemark, D., Viovy, N., Wiltshire, A., Zaehle, S. & Zeng, N. (2015). Global Carbon Budget 2015. Earth System Science Data, 7, 349-396. doi:10.5194/essd-7-349-2015 [pdf]
  • Nabel, J. (2015). Upscaling with the dynamic two-layer classification concept (D2C): TreeMig-2L, an efficient implementation of the forest-landscape model TreeMig. Geoscientific Model Development, 8, 3563-3577. doi:10.5194/gmd-8-3563-2015 [pdf] [pdf]
  • Nabel, J., Kirchner, J., Zurbriggen, N., Kienast, F. & Lischke, H. (2014). Extrapolation methods for climate time series revisited - Spatial correlations in climatic fluctuations influence simulated tree species abundance and migration. Ecological complexity, 20, 315-324. doi:10.1016/j.ecocom.2014.02.006
  • Snell, R., Huth, A., Nabel, J., Bocedi, G., Travis, J., Gravel, D., Bugmann, H., Gutierrez, A., Hickler, T., Higgins, S., Reineking, B., Scherstjanoi, M., Zurbriggen, N. & Lischke, H. (2014). Using dynamic vegetation models to simulate plant range shifts. Ecography, 37, 1184-1197. doi:10.1111/ecog.00580
  • Svenning, J.-C., Gravel, D., Holt, R., Schurr, F., Thuiller, W., Muenkemueller, T., Schiffers, K., Dullinger, S., Edwards Jr., T., Hickler, T., Higgins, S., Nabel, J., Pagel, J. & Normand, S. (2014). The influence of interspecific interactions on species range expansion rates. Ecography, 37, 1198-1209. doi:10.1111/j.1600-0587.2013.00574.x
  • Voinov, A., Seppelt, R., Reis, S., Nabel, J. & Shokravi, S. (2014). Values in socio-environmental modelling: Persuasion for action or excuse for inaction. Environmental Modelling and Software, 53, 207-212. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2013.12.005
  • Zurbriggen, N., Nabel, J., Teich, M., Bebi, P. & Lischke, H. (2014). Explicit avalanche-forest feedback simulations improve the performance of a coupled avalanche-forest model. Ecological Complexity, 17, 56-66. doi:10.1016/j.ecocom.2013.09.002
  • Nabel, J., Zurbriggen, N. & Lischke, H. (2013). Interannual climate variability and population density thresholds can have a substantial impact on simulated tree species' migration. Ecological Modelling, 257, 88-100. doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2013.02.015
  • Nabel, J., Rogelj, J., Chen, C., Markmann, K., Gutzmann, D. & Meinshausen, M. (2011). Decision support for international climate policy - The PRIMAP emission module. Environmental Modelling and Software, 26, 1419-1433. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2011.08.004
  • Rogelj, J., Nabel, J., Chen, C., Hare, W., Markmann, K., Meinshausen, M., Schaeffer, M., Macey, K. & Hoehne, N. (2010). Copenhagen Accord pledges are paltry. Nature, 464(7292), 1126-1128. doi:10.1038/4641126a
  • Rogelj, J., Chen, C., Nabel, J., Macey, K., Hare, W., Schaeffer, M., Markmann, K., Hoehne, N., Andersen, K. & Meinshausen, M. (2010). Analysis of the Copenhagen Accord pledges and its global climatic impacts: a snapshot of dissonant ambitions. Environmental Research Letters, 5: 034013. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/5/3/034013 [pdf]
Others
  • Nabel, J. & Lischke, H. (2013). Upscaling of spatially explicit and linked time and space discrete models studying vegetation dynamics under climate change. In Proceedings of the 27th Conference on Environmental Informatics - Informatics for Environmental Protection, Sustainable Development and Risk Management (pp.852-860). Aachen: Shaker. [pdf]
  • Nabel, J., Zurbriggen , N. & Lischke, H. (2012). Impact of species parameter uncertainty in simulations of tree species migration with a spatially linked dynamic model.. In Seppelt, R., Voinov, A. & Lange, S. (Eds.), International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software. Managing Resources of a Limited Planet: Pathways and Visions under Uncertainty, Sixth Biennial Meeting (pp.909-916). Leipzig: . [pdf]
  • Rogelj, J., Hare, B., Nabel, J., Macey, K., Schaeffer, M., Markmann, K. & Meinshausen, M. (2009). Halfway to Copenhagen, no way to 2 °C. Nature Reports Climate Change. doi:10.1038/climate.2009.57