Jin-Song von Storch
Office
Email: jin-song.von.storch@zmaw.de
Phone: +49-40-41173-155
Fax: +49-40-41173-289
Room no. 216
Mailing Address
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology
Bundesstr. 53
D-20146 Hamburg
Germany
Department
The Ocean in the Earth System
Research Group
Research Interests
Climate is a complex system consisting of many different interactions and feedbacks operating on a wide range of scales. When viewed individually, many of these interactions and feedbacks are reasonably well understood. This situation however does not imply that the climate system as a whole is well understood. Due to the non-linear coupling between processes, the behavior of the full system is not necessarily the sum of individual processes. More than that, in case when the number of interactions is extremely large so that statistical descriptions become inevitable, new rules can emerge. Such rules, which relate statistics of climate variables and result from a large number of interactions, can generally not be identified with any particular known processes. One example of such rules is the fluctuation -dissipation relation. Within the context of high-end earth system modeling, my research focuses on the investigation of these statistical rules. The primary questions are: Under what conditions can statistical rules emerge? How are the statistical rules related to the non-linear cross-scale interactions resolved in the system? What are the implications of these rules for climate predictions (defined as predictions of statistics of climate variables given changes in the external forcing)?
Projects
- DFG-Project (STO377/2-2): "Die Atmosphäre und ihr Drehimpuls", 2001-2003
- SFB
512 A3: "Entwicklung eines empirical atmosphärischen Modells zur Untersuchung
der niederfrequenten ozeanischen Variabilität", 2001-2003
- SFB 512 D2: '' Variabilität in Ozean und Meereis", 2004-2005
Publications
Refereed Journals
* von Storch, J.-S., J. P. Montavez and B. Balan, 2005: EMAD: an empirical model of air-sea fluxes. Meteorol. Z., 14, 755-762.
* Stenzel, O. J. and J.-S. von Storch, 2005: The effect of orography on the global AAM and the general circulation. Meteorologische Zeitschrift. Meteorol. Z. 14, 387-393.
* von Storch, J.-S., 2004: On statistical dissipation in GCM-climate. Climate Dynamics Climate Dynamics, 23, 1-15
* Stenzel, O.J. and J.-S. von Storch, 2004: On the effect of the thermal forcing on the global AAM and the general circulation. Climate Dynamics, 22, 415-427.
* von Storch, J.-S., 2003: On the 3-dimensional oceanic density distribution in a millennium integration with an AO-GCM. Ocean Dynamics, 53, 11-20.
* von Storch, J.-S., 2003: Progress in understanding momentum exchange process. Journal of Geodynamics, 36, 359-367.
* von Storch, J.-S., 2001: How do surface torques affect the global atmospheric angular momenta? Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 58, 1995-1999.
* von Storch, J.-S., P. Müller und E. Bauer, 2001: Climate Variability in Millennium Integrations with Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean GCMs. A Spectral View. Climate Dynamics, 17, 375-389.
* von Storch, J.-S., 2000: Angular momenta of the Antarctic and the Arctic Oscillations. Journal of Climate, 13, 681-685.
* von Storch, J.-S., 2000: Signatures of air-sea interactions in a coupled atmosphere-ocean GCM. Journal of Climate, 13, 3361-3379.
* von Storch, J.-S., P. Müller, R. J. Stouffer, R. Voss and S. F. B. Tett, 2000: Variability of deep-ocean mass transport: Spectral shapes and spatial scales. Journal of Climate, 13, 1916-1935.
* Junge, M., J.-S. von Storch and J.M. Oberhuber, 2000: Large-scale variability of the main thermocline excited by stochastic wind forcing. Journal of Climate, 13, 2833-2840.
* Covey, C., A. Abe-Ouchi, G. J. Boer, B. A. Boville, G.A. Meehl, U. Cubasch, E. Roeckner, H. Gorden, X. Jiang, R. Miller, G. Russell, T.C. Johns, H. L. Treut, L. Fairhead, G. Madec, A. Noda, S. B. Power, E. K. Schneider, R.J. Stouffer, J.-S. von Storch, 2000: The seasonal cycle in coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation models. Climate Dynamics, 16/10-11, 775-787.
* von Storch, J.-S., 1999: What determines the spectrum of a climate variable at zero frequency. Journal of Climate, 12, 2124-2127.
* von Storch, J.-S., 1999: On the reddest atmospheric modes and the forcings of the spectra of these modes. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 56, 1614-1626.
* von Storch, J.-S., 1998: Statistik und Konzepte der Klimavariabilität. Habilitations- schrift, Universität Hamburg.
* von Storch, J.-S., Kharin, V., Cubasch, U., Hegerl, G.C., Schriever, D., von Storch, H., Zorita, E., 1997: A description of a 1260-year control integration with the coupled ECHAM1/LSG general circulation model. Journal of Climate, 10, 1526-1544.
* von Storch, H., G. Bürger, R. Schnur and J.-S. von Storch, 1995: Principal Oscillation Patterns. Journal of Climate, 8, 377-400
* von Storch, J.-S., 1994: Interdecadal variability in a global coupled model. - Tellus, 46A, 419-432.
* Tahvonen O., H. von Storch and J.-S. von Storch, 1994: Economic efficiency of CO2 reduction programs. Climate Research, 4, 127-141
* Latif, M, Barnett, T.P., Cane, M.A., Flügel, M., Graham, N.E., von Storch, H., Xu, J.-S., 1994: A review of ENSO prediction studies. Climate Dynamics, 9, 167-179.
* Xu, J.-S., 1993: Journal of Climate, 6, 816-838.
* Xu, J.-S., 1992: On the relationship between the stratospheric quasi-biennial oscillation and the tropospheric Southern Oscillation. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 49, 725-734.
* Xu, J.-S. and H. von Storch, 1990: Predicting the state of the Southern Oscillation using Principal Oscillation Pattern Analysis. Journal of Climate, 3, 1316-1329.
* von Storch, H. and J.-S. Xu 1990: Principal Oscillation Pattern analysis of the 30- to 60-day oscillation in the tropical troposphere. Climate Dynamics, 4, 175-190.
* Xu, J.-S., H. von Storch and H. van Loon, 1990: TThe performance of four spectral GCMs in the Southern Hemisphere: The January and July Climatology and the semiannual wave. Journal of Climate, 3, 53-70.
Books
* Imkeller, P. and J.-S. von Storch, 2001: Proceedings of the workshop on stochastic climate models. Birkhäuser Verlag (ISBN 3-7643-6520).
Book Contributions
* von Storch, J.-S., 2001: Complex climate models. In P. Imkeller and J.-S. von Storch (Eds): Proceedings of the workshop on stochastic climate models. Birkhäuser Verlag (ISBN 3-7643-6520).
* von Storch, H., J.-S. von Storch and P. Mueller, 2001: Noise in Climate - Ubiquitous, Constitutive and Concealing. In B. Engquist and W. Schmid (eds.): Mathematics Unlimited - 2001 and Beyond. Springer Verlag (ISBN 3-540-67099-8)
* von Storch, J.-S., B. Wang and Z. Wang, 2001: The ENSO-Spectrum: A result of deterministic chaos or stochastic forcing? In Dynamics of Atmospheric and Oceanic Circulations and Climate, Ed. IAP/Academia, China Meteor. Press, Pp579-600.
* von Storch, J.-S., 1999: Natural climate variability and concepts of natural climate variability. In Anthropogenic Climate Change, Eds. H. von Storch and G. Flöser, Springer Verlag, 1999, 83-135.
* von Storch, J.-S., 1995: Multivariate statistical modeling: POP-Model as a first order approximation. - in H. von Storch and A. Navarra (Eds): Analysis of climate variability: Applications of statistical techniques, Springer Verlag, 281-298, (ISBN 3-540-58918-X). 2nd edition, 1999
* Tahvonen O., H. von Storch and J.-S. von Storch, 1995: Atmospheric CO2 accumulation and problems in dynamically efficient emission abatement. G. Boero and Z.A. Silberston (ed.): Environmental Economics. St. Martin's Press ISBN 0-312-12579-8, 234-265
Other Responsibilities
Editor of Ocean Dynamics
Teaching
- Übung zur Theoretischen Meteorologie I (2SS)
- Übung zur Theoretischen Meteorologie II (2SS)
- Stochastic climate models (lecture given as visiting professor at University of Utrecht)
- Statistische dynamische lineare Methode zur Beschreibung atmosphärischer Variabilität (1SS)
- Diplomanden-/Doktorandinnenseminar (Seminar for graduate students):
I. Möglichkeiten und Grenzen statistischer Verfahren (2SS)
II. Die Rolle von Modellen im Erkenntnisprozess (2SS)
III. Wechselspiel zwischen realitätsnahen und idealisierten Modellen (2SS) - Physik des Klimas (Physics of climate) (2SS)
- Statistik (2SS)
- Introduction to statistical analysis (a course given at SMHI, February 2003)