• Mauritsen, T., Bader, J., Becker, T., Behrens, J., Bittner, M., Brokopf, R., Brovkin, V., Claussen, M., Crueger, T., Esch, M., Fast, I., Fiedler, S., Popke, D., Gayler, V., Giorgetta, M., Goll, D., Haak, H., Hagemann, S., Hedemann, C., Hohenegger, C., Ilyina, T., Jahns, T., Jimenez Cuesta de la Otero, D., Jungclaus, J., Kleinen, T., Kloster, S., Kracher, D., Kinne, S., Kleberg, D., Lasslop, G., Kornblueh, L., Marotzke, J., Matei, D., Meraner, K., Mikolajewicz, U., Modali, K., Möbis, B., Müller, W., Nabel, J., Nam, C., Notz, D., Nyawira, S., Paulsen, H., Peters, K., Pincus, R., Pohlmann, H., Pongratz, J., Popp, M., Raddatz, T., Rast, S., Redler, R., Reick, C., Rohrschneider, T., Schemann, V., Schmidt, H., Schnur, R., Schulzweida, U., Six, K., Stein, L., Stemmler, I., Stevens, B., von Storch, J., Tian, F., Voigt, A., de Vrese, P., Wieners, K.-H., Wilkenskjeld, S., Roeckner, E. & Winkler, A. (submitted). Developments in the MPI-M Earth System Model version 1.2 (MPI-ESM1.2) and its response to increasing CO2.
  • Niederdrenk, A. & Notz, D. (2018). Arctic sea ice in a 1.5°C warmer world. Geophysical Research Letters, 45, 1963-1971. doi:10.1002/2017GL076159
  • Notz, D. & Stroeve, J. (submitted). The trajectory towards a seasonally ice-free Arctic Ocean.
  • Stössel, A., von Storch, J., Notz, D., Haak, H. & Gerdes, R. (2018). High-frequency and meso-scale winter sea-ice variability in the Southern Oscillation in a high resolution global ocean model. Ocean Dynamics, 68, 347-361. doi:10.1007/s10236-018-1135-y
  • Burgard, C. & Notz, D. (2017). Drivers of past and future Arctic ocean warming in CMIP5 models. Geophysical Research Letters, 44, 4263-4271. doi:10.1002/2016GL072342 [zip] [pdf] [pdf]
  • Notz, D. (2017). Arctic sea ice seasonal-to-decadal variability and long-term change. Past Global Changes Magazine, 25, 14-19. doi:10.22498/pages.25.1.14 [pdf]
  • Olonscheck, D. & Notz, D. (2017). Consistently estimating internal climate variability from climate model simulations. Journal of Climate, 30, 9555-9573. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0428.1
  • Bathiany, S., Notz, D., Mauritsen, T., Rädel, G. & Brovkin, V. (2016). On the mechanism of Arctic winter sea ice collapse. Journal of Climate, 29, 2703-2719. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0466.1 [docx] [pdf]
  • Bathiany, S., van der Bolt, B., Williamson, M., Lenton, T., Scheffer, M., van Nes, E. & Notz, D. (2016). Statistical indicators of Arctic sea-ice stability - prospects and limitations. The Cryosphere, 10, 1631-1645. doi:10.5194/tc-10-1631-2016 [pdf]
  • Bunzel, F., Notz, D., Baehr, J., Müller, W. & Fröhlich, K. (2016). Seasonal climate forecasts significantly affected by observational uncertainty of Arctic sea ice concentration. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 852-859. doi:10.1002/2015GL066928 [pdf] [pdf]
  • Grimm, R., Notz, D., Rysgaard, S., Glud, R. & Six, K. (2016). Assessment of the sea ice carbon pump: Insights from a three-dimensional ocean-sea-ice biogeochemical model (MPIOM/HAMOCC). Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene, 4, 136. doi:10.12952/journal.elementa.000136 [pdf]
  • Keitzl, T., Mellado, J.-P. & Notz, D. (2016). Reconciling heat flux and salt flux estimates at a melting ice-ocean interface. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 121, 8419-8433. doi:10.1002/2016JC012018 [pdf] [zip]
  • Keitzl, T., Mellado, J.-P. & Notz, D. (2016). Impact of thermally driven turbulence on the bottom melting of ice. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 46, 1171-1187. doi:10.1175/JPO-D-15-0126.1 [gz] [pdf]
  • Notz, D. (2016). Atmospheric dynamics: Arctic winds of change. Nature Climate Change, 6, 824-825. doi:10.1038/nclimate3030
  • Notz, D. & Stroeve, J. (2016). Observed Arctic sea-ice loss directly follows anthropogenic CO2 emission. Science, 354(6313), 747-750. doi:10.1126/science.aag2345
  • Notz, D. & Bitz, C. (2016). Sea ice in Earth system models. In Thomas, D. (Eds.), Sea Ice. - 3rd. ed. (pp.304-329). Chichester: Wiley.
  • Notz, D., Jahn, A., Holland, M., Hunke, E., Massonnet, F., Tremblay, B. & Vancoppenolle, M. (2016). The CMIP6 Sea-Ice Model Intercomparison Project (SIMIP): understanding sea ice through climate-model simulations. Geoscientific Model Development, 9, 3427-3446. doi:10.5194/gmd-9-3427-2016 [pdf]
  • Baehr, J., Fröhlich , K., Botzet, M., Domeisen, D., Kornblueh, L., Notz, D., Piontek, R., Pohlmann, H., Tietsche, S. & Müller, W. (2015). The prediction of surface temperature in the new seasonal prediction system based on the MPI-ESM coupled climate model. Climate Dynamics, 44, 2723-2735. doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2399-7
  • Griewank, P. & Notz, D. (2015). A 1D model study of Arctic sea-ice salinity. The Cryosphere, 9, 305-329. doi:10.5194/tc-9-305-2015 [pdf]
  • Lozán, J., Grassl, H., Kasang, D., Notz, D. & Escher-Vetter, H. (2015). Klimawandel und das Eis der Erde: ein Überblick. In Warnsignal Klima: Das Eis der Erde (pp.11-18). Hamburg: Wissenschaftliche Auswertungen.
  • Notz, D. (2015). Das aktuelle Abschmelzen des arktischen Meereises. In Warnsignal Klima: Das Eis der Erde (pp.199-203). Hamburg: Wissenschaftliche Auswertungen.
  • Notz, D. (2015). Historische und zukünftige Entwicklung des arktischen Meereises. In Warnsignal Klima: Das Eis der Erde (pp.194-198). Hamburg: Wissenschaftliche Auswertungen.
  • Notz, D. (2015). Bedeutung des Meereises für das Weltklima. In Warnsignal Klima: Das Eis der Erde (pp.189-193). Hamburg: Wissenschaftliche Auswertungen.
  • Notz, D. (2015). How well must climate models agree with observations?. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London, Series A: Mathematical and Physical Sciences, 373: 20140164. doi:10.1098/rsta.2014.0164
  • Notz, D. (2015). Das Meereis in der Antarktis. In Warnsignal Klima: Das Eis der Erde (pp.204-209). Hamburg: Wissenschaftliche Auswertungen.
  • Stössel, A., Notz, D., Haumann, F., Haak, H., Jungclaus, J. & Mikolajewicz, U. (2015). Controlling high-latitude Southern Ocean convection in climate models. Ocean Modelling, 86, 58-75. doi:10.1016/j.ocemod.2014.11.008
  • Stroeve, J. & Notz, D. (2015). Insights on past and future sea-ice evolution from combining observations and models. Global and Planetary Change, 135, 119-132. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2015.10.011
  • Wiese, M., Griewank, P. & Notz, D. (2015). On the thermodynamics of melting sea ice versus melting freshwater ice. Annals of Glaciology, 56, 191-199. doi:10.3189/2015AoG69A874
  • Fripiat, F., André, L., Notz, D. & DeLille, B. (2014). Biogenic silica recycling in sea inferred from SI-isotopes : constraints from Arctic winter first-year sea ice. Biogeochemistry, 119, 25-33. doi:10.1007/s10533-013-9911-8
  • Haumann, F., Notz, D. & Schmidt, H. (2014). Anthropogenic influence on recent circulation-driven Antarctic sea-ice changes. Geophysical Research Letters, 41, 8429-8437. doi:10.1002/2014GL061659 [pdf]
  • Notz, D. (2014). Sea-ice extent and its trend provide limited metrics of model performance. The Cryosphere, 8, 229-243. doi:10.5194/tc-8-229-2014 [pdf]
  • Notz, D. (2014). Veränderung der Dicke und Ausdehnung des Polarmeereises. In Lozán, J., Grassl, H., Notz, D. & Piepenburg, D. (Eds.), Warnsignal Klima: Die Polarregionen (pp.121-127). Hamburg: Wissenschaftliche Auswertungen.
  • Notz, D. (2014). Erwärmung der Polarregionen in den letzten 50 Jahren: Ursachen und Folgen. In Lozán, J., Grassl, H., Notz, D. & Piepenburg, D. (Eds.), Warnsignal Klima: Die Polarregionen (pp.230-235). Hamburg: Wissenschaftliche Auswertungen.
  • Olason, E. & Notz, D. (2014). Drivers of variability in Arctic sea-ice drift speed. Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans, 119, 5755-5775. doi:10.1002/2014JC009897 [pdf]
  • Rysgaard, S., Wang, F., Galley, R., Grimm, R., Notz, D., Lemes, M., Geilfus, N.-X., Chaulk, A., Hare, A., Crabeck, O., Else, B., Campbell, K., Sorensen, L., Sievers, J. & Papakyriakou, T. (2014). Temporal dynamics of ikaite in experimental sea ice. The Cryosphere, 8, 1469-1478. doi:10.5194/tc-8-1469-2014 [pdf]
  • Vihma, T., Pirazzini, R., Fer, I., Renfrew, I., Sedlar, J., Tjernstrom, M., Luepkes, C., Nygard, T., Notz, D., Weiss, J., Marsan, D., Cheng, B., Birnbaum, G., Gerland, S., Chechin, D. & Gascard, J. (2014). Advances in understanding and parameterization of small-scale physical processes in the marine Arctic climate system: a review. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 14(17), 9403-9450. doi:10.5194/acp-14-9403-2014 [pdf] [pdf]
  • Zanchettin, D., Bothe, O., Timmreck, C., Bader, J., Beitsch, A., Graf, H.-F., Notz, D. & Jungclaus, J. (2014). Inter-hemispheric asymmetry in the sea-ice response to volcanic forcing simulated by MPI-ESM (COSMOS-Mill). Earth System Dynamics, 5, 223-242. doi:10.5194/esd-5-223-2014 [pdf] [pdf]
  • Giorgetta, M., Jungclaus, J., Reick, C., Legutke, S., Bader, J., Böttinger, M., Brovkin, V., Crueger, T., Esch, M., Fieg, K., Glushak, K., Gayler, V., Haak, H., Hollweg, H.-D., Ilyina, T., Kinne, S., Kornblueh, L., Matei, D., Mauritsen, T., Mikolajewicz, U., Mueller, W., Notz, D., Pithan, F., Raddatz, T., Rast, S., Redler, R., Roeckner, E., Schmidt, H., Schnur, R., Segschneider, J., Six, K., Stockhause, M., Timmreck, C., Wegner, J., Widmann, H., Wieners, K.-H., Claussen, M., Marotzke, J. & Stevens, B. (2013). Climate and carbon cycle changes from 1850 to 2100 in MPI-ESM simulations for the coupled model intercomparison project phase 5. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 5, 572-597. doi:10.1002/jame.20038 [pdf]
  • Griewank, P. & Notz, D. (2013). Insights into brine dynamics and sea ice desalination from a 1-D model study of gravity drainage. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 118, 3370-3386: . doi:10.1002/jgrc.20247 [pdf]
  • Jungclaus, J., Fischer, N., Haak, H., Lohmann, K., Marotzke, J., Matei, D., Mikolajewicz, U., Notz, D. & von Storch, J.-S. (2013). Characteristics of the ocean simulations in MPIOM, the ocean component of the MPI Earth System Model. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 5, 422-446. doi:10.1002/jame.20023 [pdf]
  • Li, C., Notz, D., Tietsche, S. & Marotzke, J. (2013). The transient versus the equilibrium response of sea ice to global warming. Journal of Climate, 26, 5624-5636. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00492.1 [pdf]
  • Notz, D., Brovkin, V. & Heimann, M. (2013). Arctic: uncertainties in methane link. Nature, 500, 529-529. doi:10.1038/500529b
  • Tietsche, S., Notz, D., Jungclaus, J. & Marotzke, J. (2013). Assimilation of sea-ice concentration in a global climate model – physical and statistical aspects. Ocean Science, 9, 19-36. doi:10.5194/os-9-19-2013 [pdf]
  • Tietsche, S., Notz, D., Jungclaus, J. & Marotzke, J. (2013). Predictability of large interannual Arctic sea-ice anomalies. Climate Dynamics, 41, 2511-2526: . doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1698-8 [pdf] [eps] [eps]
  • Levermann, A., Bamber, J., Drijfhout, S., Ganopolski, A., Haeberli, W., Harris, N., Huss, M., Krüger, K., Lenton, T., Lindsay, R., Notz, D., Wadhams, P. & Weber, S. (2012). Potential climatic transitions with profound impact on Europe. Climatic Change, 110, 845-878: . doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0126-5
  • Mauritsen, T., Stevens, B., Roeckner, E., Crueger, T., Esch, M., Giorgetta, M., Haak, H., Jungclaus, J., Klocke, D., Matei, D., Mikolajewicz, U., Notz, D., Pincus, R., Schmidt, H. & Tomassini, L. (2012). Tuning the climate of a global model. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 4: M00A01. doi:10.1029/2012MS000154 [pdf]
  • Müller, W., Baehr, J., Haak, H., Jungclaus, J., Kröger, J., Matei, D., Notz, D., Pohlmann, H., von Storch, J. & Marotzke, J. (2012). Forecast skill of multi-year seasonal means in the decadal prediction system of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology. Geophysical Research Letters, 39: L22707. doi:10.1029/2012GL053326 [pdf]
  • Naumann, A., Notz, D., Havik, L. & Sirevaag, A. (2012). Laboratory study of initial sea-ice growth: properties of grease ice and nilas. Cryosphere, 6, 729-741 : . doi:10.5194/tc-6-729-2012 [pdf]
  • Notz, D. (2012). Challenges in simulating sea ice in Earth System Models. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 3, 509-526. doi:10.1002/WCC.189
  • Notz, D. & Marotzke, J. (2012). Observations reveal external driver for Arctic sea-ice retreat. Geophysical Research Letters, 39: L08502. doi:10.1029/2012GL051094 [pdf]
  • Hunke, E., Notz, D., Turner, A. & Vancoppenolle, M. (2011). The multiphase physics of sea ice: A review. Cryosphere, 5, 989-1009. doi:10.5194/tc-5-989-2011 [pdf]
  • Tietsche, S., Notz, D., Jungclaus, J. & Marotzke, J. (2011). Recovery mechanisms of Arctic summer sea ice. Geophysical Research Letters, 38: L02707. doi:10.1029/2010GL045698 [pdf]
  • Notz, D. (2009). The future of ice sheets and sea ice: Between reversible retreat and unstoppable loss. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 106, 20590-20595. doi:10.1073/pnas.0902356106
  • Notz, D. & Worster, G. (2009). Desalination processes of sea ice revisited. Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans, 114: C05006.
  • Notz, D., Haugan, P., Widell, K., Nilsen, F. & de Grosbois, A. (2009). International viewpoint and news. Environmental Geology, 57, 479-480: .
  • Notz, D. & Worster, G. (2008). In-situ measurements of the evolution of young sea ice. Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans, 113(C3): C03001. doi:10.1029/
  • Notz, D. & Worster, M. (2006). A 1-D enthalpy model of sea ice. Annals of Glaciology, 44, 123-128.
  • Notz, D., Wettlaufer, J. & Worster, M. (2005). A non-destructive method for measuring the salinity and solid fraction of growing sea ice in situ. Journal of Glaciology, 51(172), 159-166.