Publications in human dimension research

  • Cremades Rodeja, R., Schneider, U. & Scheffran, J. (2016). Assessment of policy and climate variability impacts on food, water and energy in the Asian monsoon region under diverse adaptation scenarios.Hamburg: Universität Hamburg Berichte zur Erdsystemforschung, 185 , doi:10.17617/2.2353125 [Fulltext]
  • Flach, R., Ran, Y., Godar, J., Karlberg, L. & Suavet, C. (2016). Towards more spatially explicit assessments of virtual water flows: Linking local water use and scarcity to global demand of Brazilian farming commodities. Environmental Research Letters, 11 , doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/7/075003 [Fulltext] [Fulltext]
  • Belaia, M., Funke, M. & Glanemann, N. (2015). Global warming and a potential tipping point in the Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation: The role of risk aversion. Environmental and Resource Economics, available online- , doi:10.1007/s10640-015-9978-x
  • Choi, H., Schneider, U., Rasche, L., Cui, J., Schmid, E. & Held, H. (2015). Potential effects of perfect seasonal climate forecasting on agricultural markets, welfare and land use: A case study of Spain. Agricultural Systems, 133, 177-189 , doi:10.1016/j.agsy.2014.10.007
  • Hasselmann, K., Cremades, R., Filatova, T., Hewitt, R., Jaeger, C., Kovalevsky, D., Voinov, A. & Winder, N. (2015). Free-riders to forerunners. Nature Geoscience, 8, 895 -898 , doi:10.1038/ngeo2593 [Fulltext]
  • Trapp, N., Schneider, U., McCallum, I., Fritz, S., Schill, C., Borzacchiello, M., Heumesser, C. & Craglia, M. (2015). A Meta-Analysis on the Return on Investment of Geospatial Data and Systems: A Multi-Country Perspective . Transactions in GIS, 19, 169-187 , doi:10.1111/tgis.12091
  • Glanemann, N. (2014). An economic analysis of the issues and challenges in climate policy decision making.Hamburg: Universität Hamburg [Fulltext]
  • Neubersch, D., Held, H. & Otto, A. (2014). Operationalizing climate targets under learning: An application of cost-risk analysis. Climatic Change, 126, 305-318 , doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1223-z [Fulltext]
  • Neubersch, D., Held, H. & Schneider, U. (2014). Value of information under climate targets: an application of cost-risk analysis.Hamburg: Universität Hamburg Berichte zur Erdsystemforschung, 155 , doi:10.17617/2.2043341 [Fulltext]
  • Rockstrom, J., Brasseur, G., Hoskins, B., Lucht, W., Schellnhuber, J., Kabat, P., Nakicenovic, N., Gong, P., Schlosser, P., Costa, M., Humble, A., Eyre, N., Gleick, P., James, R., Lucena, A., Masera, O., Moench, M., Schaeffer, R., Seitzinger, S., van der Leeuw, S., Ward, B., Stern, N., Hurrell, J., Srivastava, L., Morgan, J., Nobre, C., Sokona, Y., Cremades, R., Roth, E., Liverman, D. & Arnott, J. (2014). Climate change: The necessary, the possible and the desirable Earth League climate statement on the implications for climate policy from the 5th IPCC Assessment. Earth's Future, 2, 606-611 , doi:10.1002/2014EF000280 [Fulltext]
  • Schubert, S. & Grossman-Clarke, S. (2014). Evaluation of the coupled COSMO-CLM/DCEP model with observations from BUBBLE. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140, 2465-2483 , doi:10.1002/qj.2311
  • Trapp, N., Lange, A. & Held, H. (2014). The economic impacts of climate change and options for adaptation: A study of the farming sector in the European Union.Hamburg: Universität Hamburg Berichte zur Erdsystemforschung, 161 , doi:10.17617/2.2075942 [Fulltext]
  • Chen, Y.-F., Funke, M. & Glanemann, N. (2013). Climate policy decisions under ambiguity and pressure of time. The Review of Environment, Energy and Economics , doi:10.7711/feemre3.2013.02.001
  • Chen, Y.-F., Funke, M. & Glanemann, N. (2013). Off-the-record target zones: theory with an application to Hong Kong's currency board. Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, 17, 373-393 , doi:10.1515/snde-2012-0034
  • Fader, M., Gerten, D., Krause, M., Lucht, W. & Cramer, W. Spatial decoupling of agricultural production and consumption: quantifying dependences of countries on food imports due to domestic land and water constraints. Environmental Research Letters, 8 , doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014046
  • Schubert, S. & Grossman-Clarke, S. (2013). The Influence of green areas and roof albedos on air temperatures during Extreme Heat Events in Berlin, Germany. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 22, 131-143 , doi:10.1127/0941-2948/2013/0393 [Fulltext]
  • Zou, X., Li, Y., Cremades, R., Gao, Q., Wan, Y. & Qin, X. (2013). Cost-effectiveness analysis of water-saving irrigation technologies based on climate change response: A case study of China. Agricultural Water Management, 129, 9-20 , doi:10.1016/j.agwat.2013.07.004
  • Dietrich, J., Schmitz, C., Mueller, C., Fader, M., Lotze-Campen, H. & Popp, A. (2012). Measuring agricultural land-use intensity - A global analysis using a model-assisted approach. Ecological Modelling, 232, 109-118 , doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2012.03.002
  • Fader, M., Böhner, J. & Gerold, G. (2012). Precipitation variability and landscape degradation in Río Negro (Argentina) . Geo-Öko, 33, 5-33 [Fulltext]
  • Freier, K., Brüggmann, R., Scheffran, J., Finckh, M. & Schneider, U. (2012). Assessing the predictability of future livelihood strategies of pastoralists in semi-arid Morocco under climate change. Technological forecasting and Social Change, 79, 371-382 , doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2011.07.003
  • Glanemann, N. (2012). Can international environmental cooperation be bought: Comment. European Journal of Operational Research, 216, 697-699 , doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2011.08.005
  • Schilling, J., Freier, K., Hertig, E. & Scheffran, J. (2012). Climate change, vulnerability and adaptation in North Africa with focus on Morocco. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment, 156, 12-26 , doi:10.1016/j.agee.2012.04.021
  • Schubert, S., Grossman-Clarke, S. & Martilli, A. (2012). A Double-Canyon Radiation Scheme for Multi-Layer Urban Canopy Models. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 145, 439-468 , doi:10.1007/s10546-012-9728-3
  • Seitz, F., Kirschner , S. & Neubersch, D. Determination of the Earth's pole tide Love number k<sub>2</sub> from observations of polar motion using an adaptive Kalman filter approach. Journal of Geophysical Research-Solid Earth, 117 , doi:10.1029/2012JB009296 [Fulltext]
  • Alcamo, J., Schaldach, R., Koch, J., Koelking, C., Lapola, D. & Priess, J. (2011). Evaluation of an integrated land use change model including a scenario analysis of land use change for continental Africa. Environmental Modelling and Software, 26, 1017-1027 , doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2011.03.002
  • Calzadilla, A., Rehdanz, K. & Tol, R. (2011). Trade liberalization and climate change: A computable general equilibrium analysis of the impacts on global agriculture. Water, 3, 526-550 , doi:10.3390/w3020526
  • Calzadilla, A., Rehdanz, K. & Tol, R. (2011). Water scarcity and the impact of improved irrigation management: a computable general equilibrium analysis. Agricultural Economics, 42, 305-323 , doi:10.1111/j.1574-0862.2010.00516.x
  • Calzadilla Rivera, A. (2011). Water, agriculture and climate change: A global computable general equilibrium analysis.Hamburg: Universität Hamburg [Fulltext]
  • Fader, M., Gerten, D., Thammer, M., Heinke, J., Lotze-Campen, H., Lucht, W. & Cramer, W. (2011). Internal and external green-blue agricultural water footprints of nations, and related water and land savings through trade. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 15, 1641-1660 , doi:10.5194/hess-15-1641-2011
  • Fader, M. (2011). Flows of virtual land and water through global trade of agricultural products.Potsdam: Universität Potsdam [Fulltext]
  • Freier, K., Schneider, U. & Finckh, M. (2011). Dynamic interactions between vegetation and land use in semi-arid Morocco: Using a Markov process for modeling rangelands under climate change. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment, 140, 462-472 , doi:10.1016/j.agee.2011.01.011
  • Gerten, D., Heinke, J., Hoff, H., Biemans, H., Fader, M. & Waha, K. (2011). Global Water Availability and Requirements for Future Food Production. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 12, 885-899 , doi:10.1175/2011JHM1328.1
  • Havlik, P., Schneider, U., Schmid, E., Boettcher, H., Fritz, S., Skalsky, R., Aoki, K., De Cara, S., Kindermann, G., Kraxner, F., Leduc, S., McCallum, I., Mosnier, A., Sauer, T. & Obersteiner, M. (2011). Global land-use implications of first and second generation biofuel targets. Energy Policy, 39, 5690-5702 , doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2010.03.030
  • Jantke, K. & Schneider, U. (2011). Integrating land market feedbacks into conservation planning: A mathematical programming approach. Environmental Modeling and Assessment, 16, 227-238 , doi:10.1007/s10666-010-9242-2
  • Jantke, K., Schleupner, C. & Schneider, U. (2011). Gap analysis of European wetland species: priority regions for expanding the Natura 2000 network. Biodiversity and Conservation, 20, 581-605 , doi:10.1007/s10531-010-9968-9
  • Jantke, K. (2011). Systematic conservation planning in Europe – the case of wetland biodiversity.Hamburg: University of Hamburg Berichte zur Erdsystemforschung, 86 , doi:10.17617/2.1412640 [Fulltext]
  • Lessmann, K. & Edenhofer, O. (2011). Research cooperation and international standards in a model of coalition stability. Resource and Energy Economics, 33, 36-54 , doi:10.1016/j.reseneeco.2010.01.001
  • Sauer, T., Tol, R. & Schneider, U. (2011). Irrigation and global change: new applications for integrated global land use modeling.Hamburg: University of Hamburg Berichte zur Erdsystemforschung, 102 , doi:10.17617/2.1253595 [Fulltext]
  • Schaldach, R., Alcamo, J., Koch, J., Koelking, C., Lapola, D., Schuengel, J. & Priess, J. (2011). An integrated approach to modelling land-use change on continental and global scales. Environmental Modelling and Software, 26, 1041-1051 , doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2011.02.013
  • Schneider, U., Havlik, P., Schmid, E., Valin, H., Mosnier, A., Obersteiner, M., Boettcher, H., Skalsky, R., Balkovic, J., Sauer, T. & Fritz, S. (2011). Impacts of population growth, economic development, and technical change on global food production and consumption. Agricultural Systems, 104, 204-215 , doi:10.1016/j.agsy.2010.11.003
  • Weerasinghe, H., Schneider, U. & Loew, A. (submitted). Water harvest-and storage-location assessment model using GIS and remote sensing.
  • Calzadilla, A., Rehdanz, K. & Tol, R. (2010). The economic impact of more sustainable water use in agriculture: A computable general equilibrium analysis. Journal of Hydrology, 384, 292-305 , doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.12.012
  • Edenhofer, O., Knopf, B., Barker, T., Baumstark, L., Bellevrat, E., Chateau, B., Criqui, P., Isaac, M., Kitous, A., Kypreos, S., Leimbach, M., Lessmann, K., Magne, B., Scrieciu, S., Turton, H. & van Vuuren, D. (2010). The Economics of Low Stabilization: Model Comparison of Mitigation Strategies and Costs. Energy Journal, 31, 11-48
  • Fader, M., Rost, S., Mueller, C., Bondeau, A. & Gerten, D. (2010). Virtual water content of temperate cereals and maize: Present and potential future patterns. Journal of Hydrology, 384, 218-231 , doi:10.1016/j.jhydro1.2009.12.011
  • Freier, K., Glaser, B. & Zech, W. (2010). Mathematical modeling of soil carbon turnover in natural Podocarpus forest and Eucalyptus plantation in Ethiopia using compound specific δ13C analysis. Global Change Biology, 16, 1487-1502 , doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02096.x
  • Jantke, K. & Schneider, U. (2010). Multiple-species conservation planning for European wetlands with different degrees of coordination. Biological Conservation, 143, 1812-1821 , doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2010.04.036
  • Lapola, D., Schaldach, R., Alcamo, J., Bondeau, A., Koch, J., Koelking, C. & Priess, J. (2010). Indirect land-use changes can overcome carbon savings from biofuels in Brazil. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 107, 3388-3393 , doi:10.1073/pnas.0907318107
  • Lapola, D. (2010). Modeling the interplay between land use, bioenergy production and climate change.Kassel: Universität Kassel [Fulltext]
  • Narita, D., Tol, R. & Anthoff, D. (2010). Economic costs of extratropical storms under climate change: an application of FUND. Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, 53, 371-384 , doi:10.1080/09640561003613138
  • Osmani, D. & Tol, R. (2010). The case of two self-enforcing international agreements for environmental protection with asymmetric countries. Computational Economics, 36, 93-119 , doi:10.1007/s10614-010-9232-0
  • Sauer, T., Havlik, P., Schneider, U., Schmid, E., Kindermann, G. & Obersteiner, M. Agriculture and resource availability in a changing world: The role of irrigation. Water Resources Research, 46 , doi:10.1029/2009WR007729
  • Anthoff, D., Tol, R. & Yohe, G. Risk aversion, time preference, and the social cost of carbon. Environmental Research Letters, 4 , doi:10.1088/1748-9326/4/2/024002
  • Anthoff, D., Tol, R. & Yohe, G. Discounting for Climate Change. Economics - The Open Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, 3 , doi:10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2009-24
  • Anthoff, D., Hepburn, C. & Tol, R. (2009). Equity weighting and the marginal damage costs of climate change. Ecological Economics, 68, 836-849 , doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2008.06.017
  • Anthoff, D. (2009). Equity and climate change: Applications of FUND.Hamburg: Hamburg University Berichte zur Erdsystemforschung, 74 , doi:10.17617/2.993887 [Fulltext]
  • Held, H., Kriegler, E., Lessmann, K. & Edenhofer, O. (2009). Efficient climate policies under technology and climate uncertainty. Energy Economics, 31, S50-S61 , doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2008.12.012
  • Lessmann, K., Marschinski, R. & Edenhofer, O. (2009). The effects of tariffs on coalition formation in a dynamic global warming game. Economic Modelling, 26, 641-649 , doi:10.1016/j.econmod.2009.01.005
  • Lessmann, K. (2009). Endogenous technological change in strategies for mitigating climate change.Berlin: Technische Universität Berlin [Fulltext]
  • Link, P. & Tol, R. (2009). Economic impacts on key Barents Sea fisheries arising from changes in the strength of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation. Global Environmental Change - Human and Policy Dimensions, 19, 422-433 , doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2009.07.007
  • Narita, D., Tol, R. & Anthoff, D. (2009). Damage costs of climate change through intensification of tropical cyclone activities: an application of FUND. Climate Research, 39, 87-97 , doi:10.3354/cr00799
  • Osmani, D. & Tol , R. (2009). Toward farsightedly stable international environmental agreements. Journal of Public Economic Theory, 11, 455-492 , doi:10.1111/j.1467-9779.2009.01418.x
  • Osmani, D. (2009). Stability and burden sharing emissions in international environmental agreements: a game-theoretic approach.Hamburg: Hamburg University Berichte zur Erdsystemforschung, 73 , doi:10.17617/2.993886 [Fulltext]
  • Schleupner, C. (2009). GIS as integrating tool in sustainability and global change.Hamburg: University of Hamburg Berichte zur Erdsystemforschung, 62 , doi:10.17617/2.994096 [Fulltext]
  • Zandersen, M. & Tol, R. (2009). A meta-analysis of forest recreation values in Europe. Journal of Forest Economics, 15, 109-130 , doi:10.1016/j.jfe.2008.03.006
  • Osmani, D. & Tol , R. (2008). A Short Note on Joint Welfare Maximization Assumption. The IUP Journal of Managerial Economics , VI , 22-39
  • Schleupner, C. (2008). Evaluation of coastal squeeze and its consequences for the Caribbean island Martinique. Ocean and Coastal Management, 51, 383-390 , doi:10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2008.01.008
  • Schwoon, M. (2008). Learning by doing, learning spillovers and the diffusion of fuel cell vehicles. Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory, 16, 1463-1476 , doi:10.1016/j.simpat.2008.08.001
  • Tanaka, K. (2007). Inverse estimation for the simple Earth system model ACC2 and its applications.Hamburg: Universität Hamburg [Fulltext]
  • Zandersen, M., Termansen, M. & Jensen, F. (2007). Evaluating approaches to predict recreation values of new forest sites. Journal of Forest Economics, 13, 103-128 , doi:10.1016/j.jfe.2007.02.003
  • Edenhofer, O., Lessmann, K. & Bauer, N. (2006). Mitigation Strategies and Costs of Climate Protection: The Effects of ETC in the Hybrid Model MIND.. Energy Journal, 27, 207-222 , doi: 10.5547/ISSN0195-6574-EJ-VolSI2006-NoSI1-10
  • Edenhofer, O., Lessmann, K., Kemfert, C., Grubb, M. & Kohler, J. (2006). Induced Technological Change: Exploring its Implications for the Economics of Atmospheric Stabilization: Synthesis Report from the Innovation Modeling Comparison Project . Energy Journal, Endogenous Technological Change, 57-108 , doi:10.5547/ISSN0195-6574-EJ-VolSI2006-NoSI1-3 [Fulltext]
  • Erbrecht, T. & Lucht, W. (2006). Impacts of large-scale climatic disturbances on the terrestrial carbon cycle. Carbon Balance and Management, 1 , doi:10.1186/1750-0680-1-7 [Fulltext]
  • Fisher, B., Jakeman, G., Pant, H., Schwoon, M. & Tol, R. (2006). CHIMP: A simple population model for use in integrated assessment of global environmental change. Integrated Assessment Journal, 6, 1-33
  • Grossmann, I. (2006). Three scenarios for the greater Hamburg region. Futures, 38, 31-49 , doi:10.1016/j.futures.2005.04.002
  • Guo, J., Cameron, J., Tol, R. & Anthoff, D. (2006). Discounting and the social cost of carbon: a closer look at uncertainty. Environmental Science and Policy, 9, 205-216 , doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2005.11.010
  • Heistermann, M., Müller, C. & Ronneberger, K. (2006). Land in sight? Achievements, deficits and potentials of continental to global scale land-use modeling. Agricultural Ecosystems & Environment, 114, 141-158 , doi:10.1016/j.agee.2005.11.015
  • Link, P. & Tol, R. (2006). Economic impacts of changes in the population dynamics of fish on the fisheries of the Barents Sea. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 63, 611-625 , doi:10.1016/j.icesjms.2006.01.003
  • Link, P. (2006). Modeling the economic impacts of changes in thermohaline circulation with an emphasis on the Barents Sea fisheries.Hamburg: University of Hamburg Berichte zur Erdsystemforschung, 33 , doi:10.17617/2.994496 [Fulltext]
  • Lucht, W., Schaphoff, S., Erbrecht, T., Heyder, U. & Cramer, W. (2006). Terrestrial vegetation redistribution and carbon balance under climate change. Carbon Balance and Management, 1 , doi:10.1186/1750-0680-1-6
  • Ronneberger, K. (2006). The global agricultural band-use model KLVM - a coupling tools for integrated assessment.Hamburg: University of Hamburg Berichte zur Erdsystemforschung, 26 , doi:10.17617/2.994553 [Fulltext]
  • Schwoon, M. & Tol, R. (2006). Optimal CO2-abatement with socio-economic inertia and induced technological change. Energy Journal , 27, 25-59
  • Schwoon, M. (2006). Simulating the adoption of fuel cell vehicles. Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 16, 435-472 , doi:10.1007/s00191-006-0026-4
  • Edenhofer, O., Lessmann, K., Bauer, N. & Held, H. (2005). Climate Protection! – A New Energy Policy? . Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung, 74, 137-147 , doi:10.3790/vjh.74.2.137 [Fulltext]
  • Jung, M. (2005). The role of forestry projects in the clean development mechanism. Environmental Science and Policy, 8, 87-104 , doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2005.01.001
  • Jung, M. (2005). Carbon sequestration options in the international climate regime.Hamburg: Universität Hamburg [Fulltext]
  • Lessmann, K., Beyer, A., Klasmeier, J. & Matthies, M. (2005). Influence of distributional shape of substance parameters on exposure model output. Risk Analysis, 25, 1137-1145 , doi:10.1111/j.1539-6924.2005.00669.x
  • Zhou, Y. & Tol, R. (2005). Evaluating the costs of desalination and water transport. Water Resources Research, 41 , doi:10.1029/2004WR003749
  • Zhou, Y. (2005). Economic analysis of selected environmental issues in China.Hamburg: Universität Hamburg [Fulltext]
  • Zuo, X. (2005). Annual hard frosts and economic growth.Hamburg: Universität Hamburg [Fulltext]
  • Link, P. & Tol, R. (2004). Possible economic impacts of a shutdown of the thermohaline circulation: an application of FUND. Portuguese Economic Journal, 3, 99-114 , doi:10.1007/s10258-004-0033-z
  • Zhou, Y. & Tol, R. (2004). Implications of desalination for water resources in China - an economic perspective. Desalination, 164, 225-240 , doi:10.1016/S0011-9164(04)00191-2
  • Link, P. (2003). Auswirkungen populationsdynamischer Veränderungen in Fischbeständen auf die Fischereiwirtschaft in der Barentssee. Essener Geographische Arbeiten, 35, 179-202